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Política·Congreso

¿Quién votará para confirmar a Kevin Warsh como presidente de la Fed?

Market icon
Política·Congreso

¿Quién votará para confirmar a Kevin Warsh como presidente de la Fed?

NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$5,033 Vol.

Polymarket

Thom Tillis

$0 Vol.

90%

Elizabeth Warren

$0 Vol.

7%

Bernie Sanders

$3,072 Vol.

2%

Chuck Schumer

$0 Vol.

15%

Lisa Murkowski

$90 Vol.

70%

Kevin Cramer

$0 Vol.

89%

John Kennedy

$1,871 Vol.

90%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair on March 4, 2026, succeeding Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, but the process remains stalled by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis's hold on Senate Banking Committee advancement amid a DOJ probe into Powell. Warsh, known for hawkish monetary views during his 2006-2011 tenure, has held introductory meetings with senators to garner support in the GOP-controlled Senate. Trader consensus reflects strong expectations for Republican yes votes on confirmation—driven by party loyalty and Warsh's credentials—while Democrats signal opposition. Key catalysts ahead include lifting Tillis's blockade, committee hearings, and a floor vote, with timing pressures mounting before Powell's deadline.

President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair on March 4, 2026, succeeding Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, but the process remains stalled by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis's hold on Senate Banking Committee advancement amid a DOJ probe into Powell. Warsh, known for hawkish monetary views during his 2006-2011 tenure, has held introductory meetings with senators to garner support in the GOP-controlled Senate. Trader consensus reflects strong expectations for Republican yes votes on confirmation—driven by party loyalty and Warsh's credentials—while Democrats signal opposition. Key catalysts ahead include lifting Tillis's blockade, committee hearings, and a floor vote, with timing pressures mounting before Powell's deadline.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair on March 4, 2026, succeeding Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, but the process remains stalled by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis's hold on Senate Banking Committee advancement amid a DOJ probe into Powell. Warsh, known for hawkish monetary views during his 2006-2011 tenure, has held introductory meetings with senators to garner support in the GOP-controlled Senate. Trader consensus reflects strong expectations for Republican yes votes on confirmation—driven by party loyalty and Warsh's credentials—while Democrats signal opposition. Key catalysts ahead include lifting Tillis's blockade, committee hearings, and a floor vote, with timing pressures mounting before Powell's deadline.

President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair on March 4, 2026, succeeding Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, but the process remains stalled by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis's hold on Senate Banking Committee advancement amid a DOJ probe into Powell. Warsh, known for hawkish monetary views during his 2006-2011 tenure, has held introductory meetings with senators to garner support in the GOP-controlled Senate. Trader consensus reflects strong expectations for Republican yes votes on confirmation—driven by party loyalty and Warsh's credentials—while Democrats signal opposition. Key catalysts ahead include lifting Tillis's blockade, committee hearings, and a floor vote, with timing pressures mounting before Powell's deadline.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién votará para confirmar a Kevin Warsh como presidente de la Fed?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Thom Tillis" con 90%, seguido de "John Kennedy" con 90%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 90¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Quién votará para confirmar a Kevin Warsh como presidente de la Fed?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Quién votará para confirmar a Kevin Warsh como presidente de la Fed?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién votará para confirmar a Kevin Warsh como presidente de la Fed?" es "Thom Tillis" con 90%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "John Kennedy" con 90%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién votará para confirmar a Kevin Warsh como presidente de la Fed?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.