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Política·DHS

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

Market icon
Política·DHS

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

<5,000 42%

>8,000 40%

5,000-5,500 33%

5,500-6,000 32%

Polymarket
NEW

<5,000 42%

>8,000 40%

5,000-5,500 33%

5,500-6,000 32%

Polymarket
NEW

<5,000

$0 Vol.

42%

5,000-5,500

$0 Vol.

33%

5,500-6,000

$0 Vol.

32%

6,000-6,500

$0 Vol.

31%

6,500-7,000

$0 Vol.

31%

7,000-7,500

$0 Vol.

31%

7,500-8,000

$0 Vol.

31%

>8,000

$0 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on March 30, pitting a below-5,000 outcome (41.5%) against over-8,000 (40.0%), with mid-range buckets clustered around 31-32%. Recent severe East Coast storms through mid-March triggered record disruptions—over 12,500 delays and cancellations on March 16 alone—fueled by thunderstorms and high winds, compounded by spring break travel surges, TSA staffing shortages, and Newark tower evacuations. The FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds at New York and Philadelphia hubs, plus thunderstorms in Chicago, keeping high-delay risks alive amid elevated volumes. Mid-ranges lag as traders bet on extremes: normalization if weather clears, or escalation from new systems or ground stops. Fresh FAA advisories or refined forecasts could tip odds sharply.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on March 30, pitting a below-5,000 outcome (41.5%) against over-8,000 (40.0%), with mid-range buckets clustered around 31-32%. Recent severe East Coast storms through mid-March triggered record disruptions—over 12,500 delays and cancellations on March 16 alone—fueled by thunderstorms and high winds, compounded by spring break travel surges, TSA staffing shortages, and Newark tower evacuations. The FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds at New York and Philadelphia hubs, plus thunderstorms in Chicago, keeping high-delay risks alive amid elevated volumes. Mid-ranges lag as traders bet on extremes: normalization if weather clears, or escalation from new systems or ground stops. Fresh FAA advisories or refined forecasts could tip odds sharply.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on March 30, pitting a below-5,000 outcome (41.5%) against over-8,000 (40.0%), with mid-range buckets clustered around 31-32%. Recent severe East Coast storms through mid-March triggered record disruptions—over 12,500 delays and cancellations on March 16 alone—fueled by thunderstorms and high winds, compounded by spring break travel surges, TSA staffing shortages, and Newark tower evacuations. The FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds at New York and Philadelphia hubs, plus thunderstorms in Chicago, keeping high-delay risks alive amid elevated volumes. Mid-ranges lag as traders bet on extremes: normalization if weather clears, or escalation from new systems or ground stops. Fresh FAA advisories or refined forecasts could tip odds sharply.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on March 30, pitting a below-5,000 outcome (41.5%) against over-8,000 (40.0%), with mid-range buckets clustered around 31-32%. Recent severe East Coast storms through mid-March triggered record disruptions—over 12,500 delays and cancellations on March 16 alone—fueled by thunderstorms and high winds, compounded by spring break travel surges, TSA staffing shortages, and Newark tower evacuations. The FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds at New York and Philadelphia hubs, plus thunderstorms in Chicago, keeping high-delay risks alive amid elevated volumes. Mid-ranges lag as traders bet on extremes: normalization if weather clears, or escalation from new systems or ground stops. Fresh FAA advisories or refined forecasts could tip odds sharply.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<5,000" con 42%, seguido de ">8,000" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 42¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?" es "<5,000" con 42%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es ">8,000" con 40%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.