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Economía·Corea Del Sur

¿Decisión del Banco de Corea en abril?

Market icon
Economía·Corea Del Sur

¿Decisión del Banco de Corea en abril?

Apr 10

May 28

Apr 10

May 28

Sin cambios 95%

Disminución 3.0%

Aumento 2.1%

Polymarket

$21,390 Vol.

Sin cambios 95%

Disminución 3.0%

Aumento 2.1%

Polymarket

$21,390 Vol.

Disminución

$3,444 Vol.

3%

Sin cambios

$14,174 Vol.

95%

Aumento

$3,772 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s April monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95% implied probability to the Bank of Korea maintaining its base rate at 2.50% following the April 10 meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Board's five consecutive holds through February 2026 amid stable February CPI inflation at 2.0% year-over-year and an upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecast to 2.0%. This positioning aligns with Reuters economist polls anticipating steady rates through the year, supported by neutral monetary policy guidance in the March report despite rising producer prices and oil risks. Realistic challenges include a weakening won or persistent inflation pressures prompting a hawkish shift under new Governor nominee Shin Hyun-song, or sharper growth slowdowns risking a rare cut; upcoming CPI data will be pivotal.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95% implied probability to the Bank of Korea maintaining its base rate at 2.50% following the April 10 meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Board's five consecutive holds through February 2026 amid stable February CPI inflation at 2.0% year-over-year and an upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecast to 2.0%. This positioning aligns with Reuters economist polls anticipating steady rates through the year, supported by neutral monetary policy guidance in the March report despite rising producer prices and oil risks. Realistic challenges include a weakening won or persistent inflation pressures prompting a hawkish shift under new Governor nominee Shin Hyun-song, or sharper growth slowdowns risking a rare cut; upcoming CPI data will be pivotal.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s April monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95% implied probability to the Bank of Korea maintaining its base rate at 2.50% following the April 10 meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Board's five consecutive holds through February 2026 amid stable February CPI inflation at 2.0% year-over-year and an upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecast to 2.0%. This positioning aligns with Reuters economist polls anticipating steady rates through the year, supported by neutral monetary policy guidance in the March report despite rising producer prices and oil risks. Realistic challenges include a weakening won or persistent inflation pressures prompting a hawkish shift under new Governor nominee Shin Hyun-song, or sharper growth slowdowns risking a rare cut; upcoming CPI data will be pivotal.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95% implied probability to the Bank of Korea maintaining its base rate at 2.50% following the April 10 meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Board's five consecutive holds through February 2026 amid stable February CPI inflation at 2.0% year-over-year and an upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecast to 2.0%. This positioning aligns with Reuters economist polls anticipating steady rates through the year, supported by neutral monetary policy guidance in the March report despite rising producer prices and oil risks. Realistic challenges include a weakening won or persistent inflation pressures prompting a hawkish shift under new Governor nominee Shin Hyun-song, or sharper growth slowdowns risking a rare cut; upcoming CPI data will be pivotal.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Decisión del Banco de Corea en abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Sin cambios" con 95%, seguido de "Disminución" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 95¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Decisión del Banco de Corea en abril?" ha generado $21.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 15, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Decisión del Banco de Corea en abril?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Decisión del Banco de Corea en abril?" es "Sin cambios" con 95%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Disminución" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Decisión del Banco de Corea en abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.