The Bureau of Labor Statistics released April 2026 Consumer Price Index data on May 12, confirming a seasonally adjusted 0.6% monthly increase in the headline CPI-U, precisely matching pre-release trader consensus on Polymarket and driving the 100% implied probability. This followed March's elevated 0.9% surge, with the April rise propelled by a 3.8% jump in energy prices—led by 5.4% higher gasoline—and 0.6% shelter costs, alongside 0.5% food inflation; core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose a milder 0.4%. Year-over-year headline inflation accelerated to 3.8%. While official data cements this positioning, rare BLS revisions in subsequent reports represent the only realistic challenge to resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$128,201 Vol.
$128,201 Vol.
12 may 2026
≤0.3%
No
0.4%
No
0.5%
No
0.6%
Yes
0.7%
No
0.8%
No
0.9%
No
1.0%
No
≥1.1%
No
$128,201 Vol.
$128,201 Vol.
12 may 2026
≤0.3%
$16,675 Vol.
No
0.4%
$15,887 Vol.
No
0.5%
$21,579 Vol.
No
0.6%
$22,548 Vol.
Yes
0.7%
$16,254 Vol.
No
0.8%
$11,690 Vol.
No
0.9%
$6,704 Vol.
No
1.0%
$8,633 Vol.
No
≥1.1%
$8,230 Vol.
No
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The Bureau of Labor Statistics released April 2026 Consumer Price Index data on May 12, confirming a seasonally adjusted 0.6% monthly increase in the headline CPI-U, precisely matching pre-release trader consensus on Polymarket and driving the 100% implied probability. This followed March's elevated 0.9% surge, with the April rise propelled by a 3.8% jump in energy prices—led by 5.4% higher gasoline—and 0.6% shelter costs, alongside 0.5% food inflation; core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose a milder 0.4%. Year-over-year headline inflation accelerated to 3.8%. While official data cements this positioning, rare BLS revisions in subsequent reports represent the only realistic challenge to resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volumen
$128,201Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The Bureau of Labor Statistics released April 2026 Consumer Price Index data on May 12, confirming a seasonally adjusted 0.6% monthly increase in the headline CPI-U, precisely matching pre-release trader consensus on Polymarket and driving the 100% implied probability. This followed March's elevated 0.9% surge, with the April rise propelled by a 3.8% jump in energy prices—led by 5.4% higher gasoline—and 0.6% shelter costs, alongside 0.5% food inflation; core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose a milder 0.4%. Year-over-year headline inflation accelerated to 3.8%. While official data cements this positioning, rare BLS revisions in subsequent reports represent the only realistic challenge to resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$128,201Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The Bureau of Labor Statistics released April 2026 Consumer Price Index data on May 12, confirming a seasonally adjusted 0.6% monthly increase in the headline CPI-U, precisely matching pre-release trader consensus on Polymarket and driving the 100% implied probability. This followed March's elevated 0.9% surge, with the April rise propelled by a 3.8% jump in energy prices—led by 5.4% higher gasoline—and 0.6% shelter costs, alongside 0.5% food inflation; core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose a milder 0.4%. Year-over-year headline inflation accelerated to 3.8%. While official data cements this positioning, rare BLS revisions in subsequent reports represent the only realistic challenge to resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes