Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its policy rate steady at 2.50% in July, reflecting resilient economic growth near 2% alongside persistent inflation pressures that temper aggressive easing expectations. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.6% year-over-year—the highest in nearly two years—driven by Middle East tensions spiking petroleum prices, with core inflation at 2.2%; this fueled a 31.5% hike probability after BOK Deputy Governor Ryoo's May signals that rate increases warrant consideration amid won weakness near 1,470-1,480 per dollar. Cuts trade at just 1.1%, given the seventh straight hold in April under data-dependent guidance from new Governor Shin. Key watch: May 28 policy meeting outcomes and incoming May CPI for shifts in the tightening path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
Sin cambios 65%
Aumento 32%
Disminuir 1.0%
$12,828 Vol.
$12,828 Vol.
Disminuir
1%
Sin cambios
65%
Aumento
32%
Sin cambios 65%
Aumento 32%
Disminuir 1.0%
$12,828 Vol.
$12,828 Vol.
Disminuir
1%
Sin cambios
65%
Aumento
32%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its policy rate steady at 2.50% in July, reflecting resilient economic growth near 2% alongside persistent inflation pressures that temper aggressive easing expectations. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.6% year-over-year—the highest in nearly two years—driven by Middle East tensions spiking petroleum prices, with core inflation at 2.2%; this fueled a 31.5% hike probability after BOK Deputy Governor Ryoo's May signals that rate increases warrant consideration amid won weakness near 1,470-1,480 per dollar. Cuts trade at just 1.1%, given the seventh straight hold in April under data-dependent guidance from new Governor Shin. Key watch: May 28 policy meeting outcomes and incoming May CPI for shifts in the tightening path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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