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¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?

icon for ¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?
Política·Eliminar

¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?

Sí

18% probabilidad
Polymarket

$27,424 Vol.

Sí

18% probabilidad
Polymarket

$27,424 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 82% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice through year-end 2026, driven by the historical absence of any successful impeachment of an STF minister in modern Brazil and stalled Senate proceedings despite over 40 petitions against him for alleged crimes of responsibility. Recent rulings by Moraes, including his May 9 suspension of a congressional sentencing law (dosimetria) that would shorten prison terms for January 8, 2023, riot convicts, affirm his active role and institutional entrenchment. Lula administration backing and Senate President Davi Alcolumbre's shelving of probes further diminish removal risks, though 2026 elections could shift coalition dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$27,424
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 82% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice through year-end 2026, driven by the historical absence of any successful impeachment of an STF minister in modern Brazil and stalled Senate proceedings despite over 40 petitions against him for alleged crimes of responsibility. Recent rulings by Moraes, including his May 9 suspension of a congressional sentencing law (dosimetria) that would shorten prison terms for January 8, 2023, riot convicts, affirm his active role and institutional entrenchment. Lula administration backing and Senate President Davi Alcolumbre's shelving of probes further diminish removal risks, though 2026 elections could shift coalition dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$27,424
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Alexandre de Moraes fuera como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 18¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?" ha generado $27.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 9, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?" es "¿Alexandre de Moraes fuera como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?" con 18%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Alexandre de Moraes como juez de la Corte Suprema de Brasil?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.