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Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

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Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

Doly Begum 100.0%

Diana Filipova <1%

Fatima Shaban <1%

Pooja Malhotra <1%

Polymarket

$63,524 Vol.

Doly Begum 100.0%

Diana Filipova <1%

Fatima Shaban <1%

Pooja Malhotra <1%

Polymarket

$63,524 Vol.

Will Doly Begum win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Doly Begum

$42,734 Vol.

Yes

Will Diana Filipova win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Diana Filipova

$4,526 Vol.

No

Will Fatima Shaban win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Fatima Shaban

$9,763 Vol.

No

Will Pooja Malhotra win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Pooja Malhotra

$1,440 Vol.

No

Will Lyall Sanders win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Lyall Sanders

$1,254 Vol.

No

Will April Francisco win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

April Francisco

$1,228 Vol.

No

Will David Vedova win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

David Vedova

$1,371 Vol.

No

Will Peter Koubakis win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Peter Koubakis

$1,208 Vol.

No

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Doly Begum's 100% market consensus reflects her official victory in the April 13, 2026, federal by-election for Scarborough Southwest, Ontario, where Elections Canada results projected a strong Liberal win after polls closed. The former New Democratic Party provincial MPP, who switched to the federal Liberals ahead of the vote, capitalized on incumbency-like recognition in the diverse Toronto riding to defeat challengers from other parties, securing Prime Minister Mark Carney's majority government. This outcome, confirmed by major networks with substantial vote tallies reported, drove traders to price her as the definitive MP-elect. Realistic challenges, such as a judicial recount triggered by close margins or proven irregularities, appear unlikely given her comfortable lead.

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volumen
$63,524
Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Doly Begum's 100% market consensus reflects her official victory in the April 13, 2026, federal by-election for Scarborough Southwest, Ontario, where Elections Canada results projected a strong Liberal win after polls closed. The former New Democratic Party provincial MPP, who switched to the federal Liberals ahead of the vote, capitalized on incumbency-like recognition in the diverse Toronto riding to defeat challengers from other parties, securing Prime Minister Mark Carney's majority government. This outcome, confirmed by major networks with substantial vote tallies reported, drove traders to price her as the definitive MP-elect. Realistic challenges, such as a judicial recount triggered by close margins or proven irregularities, appear unlikely given her comfortable lead.

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volumen
$63,524
Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Doly Begum" con 100%, seguido de "Diana Filipova" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner" ha generado $63.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner" es "Doly Begum" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Diana Filipova" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.