Trader consensus prices 71–74% turnout as most likely at 36%, reflecting historical parliamentary election averages of 61–70%—including 69.6% in 2022—despite recent pollster claims like Medián's 89% "sure voters," which governing Fidesz allies have challenged as inflated. With the April 12 vote nine days away, the closely contested race between incumbent Fidesz and surging opposition Tisza Party, leading 9–13 points in independent polls like Publicus and Závecz from late March, drives mobilization expectations, particularly among under-30 voters favoring Tisza by over 60%. Low public trust in elections noted in a Gallup survey this week tempers optimism for 80%+, positioning moderate-high bins as leaders amid final campaign pushes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTurnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
71–74% 36%
74–77% 26%
Más del 80% 15.6%
68–71% 12%
$101,589 Vol.
$101,589 Vol.
12 abr 2026
<65%
<1%
65–68%
4%
68–71%
12%
71–74%
36%
74–77%
26%
77–80%
11%
Más del 80%
16%
71–74% 36%
74–77% 26%
Más del 80% 15.6%
68–71% 12%
$101,589 Vol.
$101,589 Vol.
12 abr 2026
<65%
$3,325 Vol.
<1%
65–68%
$4,884 Vol.
4%
68–71%
$60,099 Vol.
12%
71–74%
$9,842 Vol.
36%
74–77%
$6,118 Vol.
26%
77–80%
$10,411 Vol.
11%
Más del 80%
$6,910 Vol.
16%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus prices 71–74% turnout as most likely at 36%, reflecting historical parliamentary election averages of 61–70%—including 69.6% in 2022—despite recent pollster claims like Medián's 89% "sure voters," which governing Fidesz allies have challenged as inflated. With the April 12 vote nine days away, the closely contested race between incumbent Fidesz and surging opposition Tisza Party, leading 9–13 points in independent polls like Publicus and Závecz from late March, drives mobilization expectations, particularly among under-30 voters favoring Tisza by over 60%. Low public trust in elections noted in a Gallup survey this week tempers optimism for 80%+, positioning moderate-high bins as leaders amid final campaign pushes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Mercado abierto: Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Volumen
$101,589Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus prices 71–74% turnout as most likely at 36%, reflecting historical parliamentary election averages of 61–70%—including 69.6% in 2022—despite recent pollster claims like Medián's 89% "sure voters," which governing Fidesz allies have challenged as inflated. With the April 12 vote nine days away, the closely contested race between incumbent Fidesz and surging opposition Tisza Party, leading 9–13 points in independent polls like Publicus and Závecz from late March, drives mobilization expectations, particularly among under-30 voters favoring Tisza by over 60%. Low public trust in elections noted in a Gallup survey this week tempers optimism for 80%+, positioning moderate-high bins as leaders amid final campaign pushes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volumen
$101,589Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices 71–74% turnout as most likely at 36%, reflecting historical parliamentary election averages of 61–70%—including 69.6% in 2022—despite recent pollster claims like Medián's 89% "sure voters," which governing Fidesz allies have challenged as inflated. With the April 12 vote nine days away, the closely contested race between incumbent Fidesz and surging opposition Tisza Party, leading 9–13 points in independent polls like Publicus and Závecz from late March, drives mobilization expectations, particularly among under-30 voters favoring Tisza by over 60%. Low public trust in elections noted in a Gallup survey this week tempers optimism for 80%+, positioning moderate-high bins as leaders amid final campaign pushes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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