Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 87% implied probability for third place in the Colombia Chamber of Representatives election, reflecting consistent polling trends positioning it behind projected leaders Centro Democrático (CD) and Partido Conservador Colombiano amid the 2026 legislative race under proportional representation. Recent surveys from early October, including those by Invamer and Datexco, show PLC securing around 15-18% vote share, solidifying its spot as the strongest center-left traditional party post-2022 results where it held 14 seats. CD at 13.7% trails due to internal divisions following Álvaro Uribe's declining influence, while Partido de la U (5.7%) lags on weaker regional organization. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming party primaries and candidate announcements through December could alter seat projections in the 188-seat chamber.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoElección Cámara de Representantes de Colombia: 3er Lugar
Elección Cámara de Representantes de Colombia: 3er Lugar
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 95.5%
Centro Democrático (CD) 21.0%
Partido de la U (La U) 2.0%
Pacto Histórico por Colombia (PH) <1%
$449,277 Vol.
$449,277 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
87%
Centro Democrático (CD)
14%
Partido de la U (La U)
2%
Pacto Histórico por Colombia (PH)
1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservador)
<1%
Alianza Verde (AV)
<1%
Cambio Radical (CR)
<1%
Coalición MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL)
<1%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 95.5%
Centro Democrático (CD) 21.0%
Partido de la U (La U) 2.0%
Pacto Histórico por Colombia (PH) <1%
$449,277 Vol.
$449,277 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
$35,740 Vol.
87%
Centro Democrático (CD)
$32,182 Vol.
14%
Partido de la U (La U)
$373,420 Vol.
2%
Pacto Histórico por Colombia (PH)
$7,934 Vol.
1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservador)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Alianza Verde (AV)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Cambio Radical (CR)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Coalición MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 87% implied probability for third place in the Colombia Chamber of Representatives election, reflecting consistent polling trends positioning it behind projected leaders Centro Democrático (CD) and Partido Conservador Colombiano amid the 2026 legislative race under proportional representation. Recent surveys from early October, including those by Invamer and Datexco, show PLC securing around 15-18% vote share, solidifying its spot as the strongest center-left traditional party post-2022 results where it held 14 seats. CD at 13.7% trails due to internal divisions following Álvaro Uribe's declining influence, while Partido de la U (5.7%) lags on weaker regional organization. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming party primaries and candidate announcements through December could alter seat projections in the 188-seat chamber.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado abierto: Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Volumen
$449,277Fecha de finalización
Mar 8, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 87% implied probability for third place in the Colombia Chamber of Representatives election, reflecting consistent polling trends positioning it behind projected leaders Centro Democrático (CD) and Partido Conservador Colombiano amid the 2026 legislative race under proportional representation. Recent surveys from early October, including those by Invamer and Datexco, show PLC securing around 15-18% vote share, solidifying its spot as the strongest center-left traditional party post-2022 results where it held 14 seats. CD at 13.7% trails due to internal divisions following Álvaro Uribe's declining influence, while Partido de la U (5.7%) lags on weaker regional organization. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming party primaries and candidate announcements through December could alter seat projections in the 188-seat chamber.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$449,277Fecha de finalización
Mar 8, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 87% implied probability for third place in the Colombia Chamber of Representatives election, reflecting consistent polling trends positioning it behind projected leaders Centro Democrático (CD) and Partido Conservador Colombiano amid the 2026 legislative race under proportional representation. Recent surveys from early October, including those by Invamer and Datexco, show PLC securing around 15-18% vote share, solidifying its spot as the strongest center-left traditional party post-2022 results where it held 14 seats. CD at 13.7% trails due to internal divisions following Álvaro Uribe's declining influence, while Partido de la U (5.7%) lags on weaker regional organization. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming party primaries and candidate announcements through December could alter seat projections in the 188-seat chamber.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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