Recent polling in the Dublin Central by-election shows Sinn Féin candidate Janice Boylan leading first-preference support ahead of Social Democrats contender Daniel Ennis, with independent Gerry Hutch and Fine Gael’s Ray McAdam further back. The race for the Dáil seat vacated by Paschal Donohoe remains tight on initial counts, yet trader consensus favors Ennis because Ireland’s single transferable vote system typically delivers strong flows from eliminated centre-left and independent candidates. Developments in the final week, including reported transfer patterns and campaign positioning, have reinforced this outlook, while the short timeline to the 22 May vote limits scope for major shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro
Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Dublín-Centro
Daniel Ennis 77%
Janice Boylan 24.0%
Gerry Hutch 4.3%
Ray McAdam 1.1%
$1,097,370 Vol.
$1,097,370 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Daniel Ennis
77%
Janice Boylan
19%
Gerry Hutch
4%
Ray McAdam
1%
Malachy Steenson
1%
Janet Horner
<1%
Gillian Sherratt
<1%
Ian Noel Smyth
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
<1%
Mary Fitzpatrick
<1%
John Stephens
<1%
Daniel Ennis 77%
Janice Boylan 24.0%
Gerry Hutch 4.3%
Ray McAdam 1.1%
$1,097,370 Vol.
$1,097,370 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Daniel Ennis
$34,721 Vol.
77%
Janice Boylan
$18,383 Vol.
19%
Gerry Hutch
$509,471 Vol.
4%
Ray McAdam
$34,924 Vol.
1%
Malachy Steenson
$22,615 Vol.
1%
Janet Horner
$16,707 Vol.
<1%
Gillian Sherratt
$183,181 Vol.
<1%
Ian Noel Smyth
$13,942 Vol.
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
$53,548 Vol.
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
$9,902 Vol.
<1%
Mary Fitzpatrick
$45,699 Vol.
<1%
John Stephens
$154,276 Vol.
<1%
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Recent polling in the Dublin Central by-election shows Sinn Féin candidate Janice Boylan leading first-preference support ahead of Social Democrats contender Daniel Ennis, with independent Gerry Hutch and Fine Gael’s Ray McAdam further back. The race for the Dáil seat vacated by Paschal Donohoe remains tight on initial counts, yet trader consensus favors Ennis because Ireland’s single transferable vote system typically delivers strong flows from eliminated centre-left and independent candidates. Developments in the final week, including reported transfer patterns and campaign positioning, have reinforced this outlook, while the short timeline to the 22 May vote limits scope for major shifts.
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
Volumen
$1,097,370Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Recent polling in the Dublin Central by-election shows Sinn Féin candidate Janice Boylan leading first-preference support ahead of Social Democrats contender Daniel Ennis, with independent Gerry Hutch and Fine Gael’s Ray McAdam further back. The race for the Dáil seat vacated by Paschal Donohoe remains tight on initial counts, yet trader consensus favors Ennis because Ireland’s single transferable vote system typically delivers strong flows from eliminated centre-left and independent candidates. Developments in the final week, including reported transfer patterns and campaign positioning, have reinforced this outlook, while the short timeline to the 22 May vote limits scope for major shifts.
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volumen
$1,097,370Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the Dublin Central by-election shows Sinn Féin candidate Janice Boylan leading first-preference support ahead of Social Democrats contender Daniel Ennis, with independent Gerry Hutch and Fine Gael’s Ray McAdam further back. The race for the Dáil seat vacated by Paschal Donohoe remains tight on initial counts, yet trader consensus favors Ennis because Ireland’s single transferable vote system typically delivers strong flows from eliminated centre-left and independent candidates. Developments in the final week, including reported transfer patterns and campaign positioning, have reinforced this outlook, while the short timeline to the 22 May vote limits scope for major shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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