Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Iliana Iotova as the frontrunner in Bulgaria's 2026 presidential election at 38.5%, driven by recent polls from Alpha Research and Gallup International showing her leading the first-round field with 25-30% support, bolstered by her role as incumbent vice president and Bulgarian Socialist Party backing amid persistent political deadlock. Nikolai Denkov of the PP-DB anti-corruption bloc and Rosen Zhelyazkov of GERB follow at 18% and 15%, reflecting their parties' strong June parliamentary results and GERB's recent cabinet approval under Boyko Borissov. Fragmented center-right fields, including Sofia Mayor Vassil Terziev and former President Rosen Plevneliev, limit challengers, though runoff scenarios loom large given no majority favorite; ongoing coalition tensions and potential endorsements could shift odds before the October vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoElecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria
Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria
Iliana Iotova 39%
Nikolai Denkov 18%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 16%
Blagomir Kotsev 6.9%

Iliana Iotova
39%

Nikolai Denkov
18%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
16%

Blagomir Kotsev
7%

Vassil Terziev
6%

Yanaki Stoilov
6%

Boyko Borissov
6%

Natalia Kiselova
5%

Kostadin Kostadinov
3%

Delyan Peevski
2%

Rosen Plevneliev
7%

Krum Zarkov
1%

Atanas Atanasov
6%
Iliana Iotova 39%
Nikolai Denkov 18%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 16%
Blagomir Kotsev 6.9%

Iliana Iotova
39%

Nikolai Denkov
18%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
16%

Blagomir Kotsev
7%

Vassil Terziev
6%

Yanaki Stoilov
6%

Boyko Borissov
6%

Natalia Kiselova
5%

Kostadin Kostadinov
3%

Delyan Peevski
2%

Rosen Plevneliev
7%

Krum Zarkov
1%

Atanas Atanasov
6%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Iliana Iotova as the frontrunner in Bulgaria's 2026 presidential election at 38.5%, driven by recent polls from Alpha Research and Gallup International showing her leading the first-round field with 25-30% support, bolstered by her role as incumbent vice president and Bulgarian Socialist Party backing amid persistent political deadlock. Nikolai Denkov of the PP-DB anti-corruption bloc and Rosen Zhelyazkov of GERB follow at 18% and 15%, reflecting their parties' strong June parliamentary results and GERB's recent cabinet approval under Boyko Borissov. Fragmented center-right fields, including Sofia Mayor Vassil Terziev and former President Rosen Plevneliev, limit challengers, though runoff scenarios loom large given no majority favorite; ongoing coalition tensions and potential endorsements could shift odds before the October vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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