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Política·Elecciones Mundiales

¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?

Market icon
Política·Elecciones Mundiales

¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?

340–354 34%

355+ 32%

325–339 16%

310–324 12.3%

Polymarket
NEW

340–354 34%

355+ 32%

325–339 16%

310–324 12.3%

Polymarket
NEW

<280

$0 Vol.

4%

280–294

$0 Vol.

3%

295–309

$0 Vol.

6%

310–324

$0 Vol.

12%

325–339

$222 Vol.

16%

340–354

$240 Vol.

34%

355+

$5,355 Vol.

32%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus prices United Russia at 340–354 seats (34%) or 355+ (32.5%) for the September 20, 2026, State Duma elections, reflecting uncertainty in the parallel voting system of 225 proportional party-list seats and 225 single-member districts despite the party's historical dominance. March 2026 polls from FOM and WCIOM show United Russia list support fluctuating between 29–41%, down in regions like St. Petersburg amid rising food and utility prices, prompting Kremlin-directed propaganda to highlight social initiatives and benefits for war participants. Party leadership targets 55% lists and 195 single-member wins but acknowledges challenges in up to 30 regions, including Communist strongholds and Far East protest areas. Pro-war figures atop candidate lists bolster militarized appeal, while redistricting adds occupied territories; stronger turnout or mobilization could exceed 355 seats, but protest dynamics risk capping lower.

Trader consensus prices United Russia at 340–354 seats (34%) or 355+ (32.5%) for the September 20, 2026, State Duma elections, reflecting uncertainty in the parallel voting system of 225 proportional party-list seats and 225 single-member districts despite the party's historical dominance. March 2026 polls from FOM and WCIOM show United Russia list support fluctuating between 29–41%, down in regions like St. Petersburg amid rising food and utility prices, prompting Kremlin-directed propaganda to highlight social initiatives and benefits for war participants. Party leadership targets 55% lists and 195 single-member wins but acknowledges challenges in up to 30 regions, including Communist strongholds and Far East protest areas. Pro-war figures atop candidate lists bolster militarized appeal, while redistricting adds occupied territories; stronger turnout or mobilization could exceed 355 seats, but protest dynamics risk capping lower.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus prices United Russia at 340–354 seats (34%) or 355+ (32.5%) for the September 20, 2026, State Duma elections, reflecting uncertainty in the parallel voting system of 225 proportional party-list seats and 225 single-member districts despite the party's historical dominance. March 2026 polls from FOM and WCIOM show United Russia list support fluctuating between 29–41%, down in regions like St. Petersburg amid rising food and utility prices, prompting Kremlin-directed propaganda to highlight social initiatives and benefits for war participants. Party leadership targets 55% lists and 195 single-member wins but acknowledges challenges in up to 30 regions, including Communist strongholds and Far East protest areas. Pro-war figures atop candidate lists bolster militarized appeal, while redistricting adds occupied territories; stronger turnout or mobilization could exceed 355 seats, but protest dynamics risk capping lower.

Trader consensus prices United Russia at 340–354 seats (34%) or 355+ (32.5%) for the September 20, 2026, State Duma elections, reflecting uncertainty in the parallel voting system of 225 proportional party-list seats and 225 single-member districts despite the party's historical dominance. March 2026 polls from FOM and WCIOM show United Russia list support fluctuating between 29–41%, down in regions like St. Petersburg amid rising food and utility prices, prompting Kremlin-directed propaganda to highlight social initiatives and benefits for war participants. Party leadership targets 55% lists and 195 single-member wins but acknowledges challenges in up to 30 regions, including Communist strongholds and Far East protest areas. Pro-war figures atop candidate lists bolster militarized appeal, while redistricting adds occupied territories; stronger turnout or mobilization could exceed 355 seats, but protest dynamics risk capping lower.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "340–354" con 34%, seguido de "355+" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 34¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 7, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?" es "340–354" con 34%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "355+" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.