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Política·Elecciones Francesas

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Le Havre

Market icon
Política·Elecciones Francesas

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Le Havre

Edouard Philippe 99.0%

Charlotte Boulogne <1%

Franck Keller <1%

Jean-Paul Lecoq <1%

Polymarket

$66,367 Vol.

Edouard Philippe 99.0%

Charlotte Boulogne <1%

Franck Keller <1%

Jean-Paul Lecoq <1%

Polymarket

$66,367 Vol.

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Edouard Philippe

$66,367 Vol.

99%

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Charlotte Boulogne

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Franck Keller

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Jean-Paul Lecoq

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Marie Le Cieux

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Sophie Zarifian

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Magali Cauchois

$0 Vol.

<1%

Municipal elections to elect the municipal council of Le Havre are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026 (with a runoff on March 22 if necessary); the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Le Havre. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Edouard Philippe commands 98.9% trader consensus to win the Le Havre mayoral election, driven by his proven track record as former mayor from 2010 to 2017, national stature as ex-Prime Minister under Macron, and dominant local polling averages showing him 30+ points ahead of rivals like Charlotte Boulogne and Jean-Paul Lecoq. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge his position, with his Horizons party maintaining strong support in this key Normandy port city ahead of the 2026 municipal vote's first round. While near-certain, scenarios like a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or surge from a unified left-right challenger coalition could shift odds, though historical patterns favor entrenched local incumbents in French list-based municipal contests.

Municipal elections to elect the municipal council of Le Havre are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026 (with a runoff on March 22 if necessary); the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Le Havre.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$66,367
Fecha de finalización
Mar 22, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections to elect the municipal council of Le Havre are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026 (with a runoff on March 22 if necessary); the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Le Havre. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Edouard Philippe commands 98.9% trader consensus to win the Le Havre mayoral election, driven by his proven track record as former mayor from 2010 to 2017, national stature as ex-Prime Minister under Macron, and dominant local polling averages showing him 30+ points ahead of rivals like Charlotte Boulogne and Jean-Paul Lecoq. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge his position, with his Horizons party maintaining strong support in this key Normandy port city ahead of the 2026 municipal vote's first round. While near-certain, scenarios like a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or surge from a unified left-right challenger coalition could shift odds, though historical patterns favor entrenched local incumbents in French list-based municipal contests.

Edouard Philippe commands 98.9% trader consensus to win the Le Havre mayoral election, driven by his proven track record as former mayor from 2010 to 2017, national stature as ex-Prime Minister under Macron, and dominant local polling averages showing him 30+ points ahead of rivals like Charlotte Boulogne and Jean-Paul Lecoq. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge his position, with his Horizons party maintaining strong support in this key Normandy port city ahead of the 2026 municipal vote's first round. While near-certain, scenarios like a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or surge from a unified left-right challenger coalition could shift odds, though historical patterns favor entrenched local incumbents in French list-based municipal contests.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Le Havre" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Edouard Philippe" con 99%, seguido de "Charlotte Boulogne" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Le Havre" ha generado $66.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 4, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Le Havre", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Le Havre" es "Edouard Philippe" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Charlotte Boulogne" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Le Havre" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.