Trader consensus on the Hungary parliamentary election's second-place finisher reflects a tightening race between Fidesz-KDNP and TISZA, with polls showing the two neck-and-neck after TISZA's surge. Recent developments include Péter Magyar's TISZA party consolidating anti-Fidesz support through large rallies and criticism of government economic policies amid high inflation and EU tensions, boosting its national polling average to 28-35% in late September-October surveys from Publicus and Závecz Research, up from 7% in July. Fidesz-KDNP holds 40-45% but faces voter fatigue from 14 years in power and internal scandals. Fragmented legacy opposition parties like MSZP, DK, and Momentum trail far behind at under 10% combined, unlikely to challenge for second under Hungary's mixed-member proportional system. The 2026 vote remains fluid ahead of primaries and coalition talks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHungary Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Fidesz-KDNP 67%
TISZA 32%
MSZP 1.0%
Jobbik <1%
$12,247 Vol.
$12,247 Vol.

Fidesz-KDNP
67%

TISZA
32%

MSZP
1%

Jobbik
1%

Mi Hazánk
<1%

LMP
<1%

DK
<1%

Momentum
<1%

Párbeszéd
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP 67%
TISZA 32%
MSZP 1.0%
Jobbik <1%
$12,247 Vol.
$12,247 Vol.

Fidesz-KDNP
67%

TISZA
32%

MSZP
1%

Jobbik
1%

Mi Hazánk
<1%

LMP
<1%

DK
<1%

Momentum
<1%

Párbeszéd
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Hungary parliamentary election's second-place finisher reflects a tightening race between Fidesz-KDNP and TISZA, with polls showing the two neck-and-neck after TISZA's surge. Recent developments include Péter Magyar's TISZA party consolidating anti-Fidesz support through large rallies and criticism of government economic policies amid high inflation and EU tensions, boosting its national polling average to 28-35% in late September-October surveys from Publicus and Závecz Research, up from 7% in July. Fidesz-KDNP holds 40-45% but faces voter fatigue from 14 years in power and internal scandals. Fragmented legacy opposition parties like MSZP, DK, and Momentum trail far behind at under 10% combined, unlikely to challenge for second under Hungary's mixed-member proportional system. The 2026 vote remains fluid ahead of primaries and coalition talks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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