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Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 59%

Charles Milliard 24%

Christine Fréchette 13.0%

Bernard Drainville 3.3%

Polymarket

$44,445 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 59%

Charles Milliard 24%

Christine Fréchette 13.0%

Bernard Drainville 3.3%

Polymarket

$44,445 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$6,832 Vol.

59%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$3,076 Vol.

24%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$3,913 Vol.

13%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$16,743 Vol.

3%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$4,009 Vol.

1%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$7,055 Vol.

1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,818 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois holds the leading trader consensus at 59 percent for Quebec’s next premier ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election, driven by sustained polling strength among francophone voters and a series of recent by-election gains. Christine Fréchette assumed the premiership in April 2026 after winning the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership contest, yet her party trails in current surveys. Charles Milliard, who secured the Quebec Liberal Party leadership by acclamation in February, sits at 24 percent amid efforts to consolidate federalist support. Bernard Drainville’s share has fallen sharply following his loss in the CAQ race. The market reflects these shifts in party standings and voter preferences heading into the campaign.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$44,445
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois holds the leading trader consensus at 59 percent for Quebec’s next premier ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election, driven by sustained polling strength among francophone voters and a series of recent by-election gains. Christine Fréchette assumed the premiership in April 2026 after winning the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership contest, yet her party trails in current surveys. Charles Milliard, who secured the Quebec Liberal Party leadership by acclamation in February, sits at 24 percent amid efforts to consolidate federalist support. Bernard Drainville’s share has fallen sharply following his loss in the CAQ race. The market reflects these shifts in party standings and voter preferences heading into the campaign.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$44,445
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Premier of Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" con 59%, seguido de "Charles Milliard" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 59¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Next Premier of Quebec" ha generado $44.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Next Premier of Quebec", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Premier of Quebec" es "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" con 59%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Charles Milliard" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Premier of Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.