**Canceled leads at 50.5% amid deepening fractures over Socialist Party participation and broader left disunity.** The October 11, 2026 primary—backed by the Ecologists, L'Après, Debout! and Génération.s—hinges on whether the PS joins after its June 2026 decision and 2026 municipal results. Internal PS opposition, highlighted by the May resignation of parliamentary leader Boris Vallaud and resistance to alliances with La France Insoumise, has elevated cancellation odds. Marine Tondelier (15%) benefits from her role as a primary initiator and recent Ecologist endorsement, while François Ruffin (5.5%), Clémentine Autain (2.5%), Benjamin Lucas-Lundy (2.3%) and Lydie Massard (0.6%) trail among the narrower participating groups. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's May 2026 presidential announcement and Place Publique's absence further fragment prospects for a unified left field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCancelado 51%
Marine Tondelier 15%
François Ruffin 5.1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy 3.5%
$92,656 Vol.
$92,656 Vol.
11 oct 2026
Cancelado
51%
Marine Tondelier
15%
François Ruffin
5%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
4%
Clémentine Autain
3%
Lydie Massard
1%
Cancelado 51%
Marine Tondelier 15%
François Ruffin 5.1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy 3.5%
$92,656 Vol.
$92,656 Vol.
11 oct 2026
Cancelado
$25,954 Vol.
51%
Marine Tondelier
$37,424 Vol.
15%
François Ruffin
$22,992 Vol.
5%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$361 Vol.
4%
Clémentine Autain
$4,213 Vol.
3%
Lydie Massard
$1,712 Vol.
1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Canceled leads at 50.5% amid deepening fractures over Socialist Party participation and broader left disunity.** The October 11, 2026 primary—backed by the Ecologists, L'Après, Debout! and Génération.s—hinges on whether the PS joins after its June 2026 decision and 2026 municipal results. Internal PS opposition, highlighted by the May resignation of parliamentary leader Boris Vallaud and resistance to alliances with La France Insoumise, has elevated cancellation odds. Marine Tondelier (15%) benefits from her role as a primary initiator and recent Ecologist endorsement, while François Ruffin (5.5%), Clémentine Autain (2.5%), Benjamin Lucas-Lundy (2.3%) and Lydie Massard (0.6%) trail among the narrower participating groups. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's May 2026 presidential announcement and Place Publique's absence further fragment prospects for a unified left field.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volumen
$92,656Fecha de finalización
11 oct 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Canceled leads at 50.5% amid deepening fractures over Socialist Party participation and broader left disunity.** The October 11, 2026 primary—backed by the Ecologists, L'Après, Debout! and Génération.s—hinges on whether the PS joins after its June 2026 decision and 2026 municipal results. Internal PS opposition, highlighted by the May resignation of parliamentary leader Boris Vallaud and resistance to alliances with La France Insoumise, has elevated cancellation odds. Marine Tondelier (15%) benefits from her role as a primary initiator and recent Ecologist endorsement, while François Ruffin (5.5%), Clémentine Autain (2.5%), Benjamin Lucas-Lundy (2.3%) and Lydie Massard (0.6%) trail among the narrower participating groups. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's May 2026 presidential announcement and Place Publique's absence further fragment prospects for a unified left field.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$92,656Fecha de finalización
11 oct 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Canceled leads at 50.5% amid deepening fractures over Socialist Party participation and broader left disunity.** The October 11, 2026 primary—backed by the Ecologists, L'Après, Debout! and Génération.s—hinges on whether the PS joins after its June 2026 decision and 2026 municipal results. Internal PS opposition, highlighted by the May resignation of parliamentary leader Boris Vallaud and resistance to alliances with La France Insoumise, has elevated cancellation odds. Marine Tondelier (15%) benefits from her role as a primary initiator and recent Ecologist endorsement, while François Ruffin (5.5%), Clémentine Autain (2.5%), Benjamin Lucas-Lundy (2.3%) and Lydie Massard (0.6%) trail among the narrower participating groups. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's May 2026 presidential announcement and Place Publique's absence further fragment prospects for a unified left field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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