Market icon

¿Las probabilidades del Senado republicano de 2026 alcanzaron___ para el 31 de marzo?

$139,206 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/2026-us-senate-election-republican-odds-over-90-by-march-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Volumen
$139,206
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Creado en
Dec 5, 2025, 4:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/2026-us-senate-election-republican-odds-over-90-by-march-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿Las probabilidades del Senado republicano de 2026 alcanzaron___ para el 31 de marzo?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ 60%" at 100%, followed by "↓ 55%" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿Las probabilidades del Senado republicano de 2026 alcanzaron___ para el 31 de marzo?" has generated $139.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿Las probabilidades del Senado republicano de 2026 alcanzaron___ para el 31 de marzo?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿Las probabilidades del Senado republicano de 2026 alcanzaron___ para el 31 de marzo?" is "↓ 60%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ 55%" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿Las probabilidades del Senado republicano de 2026 alcanzaron___ para el 31 de marzo?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

¿Las probabilidades del Senado republicano de 2026 alcanzaron___ para el 31 de marzo?

$139,206 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 90%

$3,976 Vol.

6%

↑ 80%

$19,797 Vol.

7%

↑ 75%

$24,666 Vol.

7%

↑ 70%

$3,142 Vol.

14%

↓ 55%

$24,002 Vol.

33%

↓ 50%

$22,179 Vol.

11%

↓ 40%

$18,710 Vol.

4%

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿Las probabilidades del Senado republicano de 2026 alcanzaron___ para el 31 de marzo?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ 60%" at 100%, followed by "↓ 55%" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿Las probabilidades del Senado republicano de 2026 alcanzaron___ para el 31 de marzo?" has generated $139.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿Las probabilidades del Senado republicano de 2026 alcanzaron___ para el 31 de marzo?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿Las probabilidades del Senado republicano de 2026 alcanzaron___ para el 31 de marzo?" is "↓ 60%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ 55%" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿Las probabilidades del Senado republicano de 2026 alcanzaron___ para el 31 de marzo?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.