Recent polls showing former Sen. Sherrod Brown leading incumbent Sen. Jon Husted by 2-4 points among likely voters have boosted trader consensus to 55.5% implied probability for Democrat and 42% for Republican in Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, triggered by Sen. JD Vance's vice presidential win. March surveys from EMC Research, Quantus Insights, and others highlight health insurance costs as a key issue favoring Brown's economic messaging, while national midterm headwinds against President Trump's administration contribute to the shift. Handicappers like Cook Political Report now rate the race competitive in this battleground state. Democratic primaries wrap May 5, setting up the November 3 general amid tight polling averages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Ohio
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Ohio
$63,057 Vol.
$63,057 Vol.

Demócrata
56%

Republicano
42%
$63,057 Vol.
$63,057 Vol.

Demócrata
56%

Republicano
42%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls showing former Sen. Sherrod Brown leading incumbent Sen. Jon Husted by 2-4 points among likely voters have boosted trader consensus to 55.5% implied probability for Democrat and 42% for Republican in Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, triggered by Sen. JD Vance's vice presidential win. March surveys from EMC Research, Quantus Insights, and others highlight health insurance costs as a key issue favoring Brown's economic messaging, while national midterm headwinds against President Trump's administration contribute to the shift. Handicappers like Cook Political Report now rate the race competitive in this battleground state. Democratic primaries wrap May 5, setting up the November 3 general amid tight polling averages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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