The Republican primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains the pivotal uncertainty, as the winner will challenge Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico in the November general election. Recent polls, including University of Houston (late April-early May) showing Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% and general matchups with Talarico leading both by 3-8 points amid high undecideds (up to 19%), reflect a closely contested race. Trader consensus tilts Republican at 54.5% due to Texas' historical GOP dominance, midterm turnout advantages for the president's party, and skepticism of early polling trends. A Paxton victory could energize the base and widen the gap, while Cornyn's fundraising edge or national shifts might solidify the lean.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
$198,928 Vol.
$198,928 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
55%
Demócrata
47%
$198,928 Vol.
$198,928 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$110,161 Vol.
55%
Demócrata
$88,767 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Republican primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains the pivotal uncertainty, as the winner will challenge Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico in the November general election. Recent polls, including University of Houston (late April-early May) showing Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% and general matchups with Talarico leading both by 3-8 points amid high undecideds (up to 19%), reflect a closely contested race. Trader consensus tilts Republican at 54.5% due to Texas' historical GOP dominance, midterm turnout advantages for the president's party, and skepticism of early polling trends. A Paxton victory could energize the base and widen the gap, while Cornyn's fundraising edge or national shifts might solidify the lean.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volumen
$198,928Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Republican primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains the pivotal uncertainty, as the winner will challenge Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico in the November general election. Recent polls, including University of Houston (late April-early May) showing Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% and general matchups with Talarico leading both by 3-8 points amid high undecideds (up to 19%), reflect a closely contested race. Trader consensus tilts Republican at 54.5% due to Texas' historical GOP dominance, midterm turnout advantages for the president's party, and skepticism of early polling trends. A Paxton victory could energize the base and widen the gap, while Cornyn's fundraising edge or national shifts might solidify the lean.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$198,928Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains the pivotal uncertainty, as the winner will challenge Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico in the November general election. Recent polls, including University of Houston (late April-early May) showing Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% and general matchups with Talarico leading both by 3-8 points amid high undecideds (up to 19%), reflect a closely contested race. Trader consensus tilts Republican at 54.5% due to Texas' historical GOP dominance, midterm turnout advantages for the president's party, and skepticism of early polling trends. A Paxton victory could energize the base and widen the gap, while Cornyn's fundraising edge or national shifts might solidify the lean.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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