Trader consensus prices a narrow 54.5% chance for the Republican party nominee over Democrat James Talarico in the Texas U.S. Senate race, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton. Recent polls, including University of Houston (April 28-May 1, Paxton 48%-Cornyn 45% among likely voters) and partisan surveys like pro-Paxton Remington (May 3-5, Paxton 47%-36%) versus pro-Cornyn Peak Insights (May 2-5, Cornyn 47%-46%), underscore the GOP nomination fight's tightness. General election matchups show Talarico leading both by 1-8 points in April surveys from University of Texas and Texas Public Opinion Research, keeping the race competitive despite Texas's GOP lean and incumbency advantages. A Cornyn win bolsters Republican odds via stronger polling; Paxton's base-driven appeal risks general election drag, with President Trump's pending endorsement a potential catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
$197,426 Vol.
$197,426 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
55%
Demócrata
47%
$197,426 Vol.
$197,426 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$108,660 Vol.
55%
Demócrata
$88,767 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a narrow 54.5% chance for the Republican party nominee over Democrat James Talarico in the Texas U.S. Senate race, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton. Recent polls, including University of Houston (April 28-May 1, Paxton 48%-Cornyn 45% among likely voters) and partisan surveys like pro-Paxton Remington (May 3-5, Paxton 47%-36%) versus pro-Cornyn Peak Insights (May 2-5, Cornyn 47%-46%), underscore the GOP nomination fight's tightness. General election matchups show Talarico leading both by 1-8 points in April surveys from University of Texas and Texas Public Opinion Research, keeping the race competitive despite Texas's GOP lean and incumbency advantages. A Cornyn win bolsters Republican odds via stronger polling; Paxton's base-driven appeal risks general election drag, with President Trump's pending endorsement a potential catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volumen
$197,426Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a narrow 54.5% chance for the Republican party nominee over Democrat James Talarico in the Texas U.S. Senate race, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton. Recent polls, including University of Houston (April 28-May 1, Paxton 48%-Cornyn 45% among likely voters) and partisan surveys like pro-Paxton Remington (May 3-5, Paxton 47%-36%) versus pro-Cornyn Peak Insights (May 2-5, Cornyn 47%-46%), underscore the GOP nomination fight's tightness. General election matchups show Talarico leading both by 1-8 points in April surveys from University of Texas and Texas Public Opinion Research, keeping the race competitive despite Texas's GOP lean and incumbency advantages. A Cornyn win bolsters Republican odds via stronger polling; Paxton's base-driven appeal risks general election drag, with President Trump's pending endorsement a potential catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$197,426Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a narrow 54.5% chance for the Republican party nominee over Democrat James Talarico in the Texas U.S. Senate race, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton. Recent polls, including University of Houston (April 28-May 1, Paxton 48%-Cornyn 45% among likely voters) and partisan surveys like pro-Paxton Remington (May 3-5, Paxton 47%-36%) versus pro-Cornyn Peak Insights (May 2-5, Cornyn 47%-46%), underscore the GOP nomination fight's tightness. General election matchups show Talarico leading both by 1-8 points in April surveys from University of Texas and Texas Public Opinion Research, keeping the race competitive despite Texas's GOP lean and incumbency advantages. A Cornyn win bolsters Republican odds via stronger polling; Paxton's base-driven appeal risks general election drag, with President Trump's pending endorsement a potential catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes