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Política·Senado De Texas

Participación en la segunda vuelta de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas

Market icon
Política·Senado De Texas

Participación en la segunda vuelta de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas

0.6–0.9M 48%

1.2–1.5M 27%

2.4–2.7M 24.0%

2,1–2,4M 18%

Polymarket
NEW

0.6–0.9M 48%

1.2–1.5M 27%

2.4–2.7M 24.0%

2,1–2,4M 18%

Polymarket
NEW

<0,6M

$0 Vol.

17%

0.6–0.9M

$0 Vol.

39%

0.9–1.2M

$0 Vol.

21%

1.2–1.5M

$0 Vol.

27%

1.5–1.8M

$0 Vol.

17%

1.8–2.1M

$0 Vol.

16%

2,1–2,4M

$0 Vol.

18%

2.4–2.7M

$0 Vol.

14%

2,7M+

$0 Vol.

8%

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors 600,000–900,000 voters (38.5%) in the Texas Senate Republican primary runoff on May 28, driven by historically low runoff turnout—2022 GOP runoff saw under 200,000 statewide amid scant competition—coupled with early voting data through May 24 showing roughly 60,000 GOP ballots, projecting totals below 1 million absent election-day surges. Limited high-profile Senate district races, like those in SD-3 and others, dampen enthusiasm compared to March's 1 million-plus primary amid presidential cycle interest, while hot-button issues in contested districts sustain some mobilization. Upcoming election-day voting could tip toward higher bins like 1.2–1.5 million (26.5%) if grassroots efforts boost turnout, though apathy and summer timing weigh against exceeding 1 million.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
May 26, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors 600,000–900,000 voters (38.5%) in the Texas Senate Republican primary runoff on May 28, driven by historically low runoff turnout—2022 GOP runoff saw under 200,000 statewide amid scant competition—coupled with early voting data through May 24 showing roughly 60,000 GOP ballots, projecting totals below 1 million absent election-day surges. Limited high-profile Senate district races, like those in SD-3 and others, dampen enthusiasm compared to March's 1 million-plus primary amid presidential cycle interest, while hot-button issues in contested districts sustain some mobilization. Upcoming election-day voting could tip toward higher bins like 1.2–1.5 million (26.5%) if grassroots efforts boost turnout, though apathy and summer timing weigh against exceeding 1 million.

Trader consensus favors 600,000–900,000 voters (38.5%) in the Texas Senate Republican primary runoff on May 28, driven by historically low runoff turnout—2022 GOP runoff saw under 200,000 statewide amid scant competition—coupled with early voting data through May 24 showing roughly 60,000 GOP ballots, projecting totals below 1 million absent election-day surges. Limited high-profile Senate district races, like those in SD-3 and others, dampen enthusiasm compared to March's 1 million-plus primary amid presidential cycle interest, while hot-button issues in contested districts sustain some mobilization. Upcoming election-day voting could tip toward higher bins like 1.2–1.5 million (26.5%) if grassroots efforts boost turnout, though apathy and summer timing weigh against exceeding 1 million.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Participación en la segunda vuelta de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "0.6–0.9M" con 39%, seguido de "1.2–1.5M" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Participación en la segunda vuelta de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 4, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Participación en la segunda vuelta de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Participación en la segunda vuelta de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" es "0.6–0.9M" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "1.2–1.5M" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Participación en la segunda vuelta de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.