State Sen. Mayes Middleton's commanding first-place finish in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas attorney general, fueled by nearly $14 million in self-funding, has solidified trader consensus at 74% implied probability for him as the runoff winner against U.S. Rep. Chip Roy on May 26. Middleton's double-digit primary lead over Roy reflects strong momentum among GOP primary voters, further boosted by recent endorsements from former rival Aaron Reitz—who garnered over 250,000 primary votes—and Rep. Katrina Pierson, aiding vote consolidation. Roy holds 39.5% trader support amid his congressional profile and conservative record, but faces fundraising hurdles in the low-turnout runoff, with early voting May 18-22 looming as a pivotal factor.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMayes Middleton
67%
Chip Roy
42%
Mayes Middleton
67%
Chip Roy
42%
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...State Sen. Mayes Middleton's commanding first-place finish in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas attorney general, fueled by nearly $14 million in self-funding, has solidified trader consensus at 74% implied probability for him as the runoff winner against U.S. Rep. Chip Roy on May 26. Middleton's double-digit primary lead over Roy reflects strong momentum among GOP primary voters, further boosted by recent endorsements from former rival Aaron Reitz—who garnered over 250,000 primary votes—and Rep. Katrina Pierson, aiding vote consolidation. Roy holds 39.5% trader support amid his congressional profile and conservative record, but faces fundraising hurdles in the low-turnout runoff, with early voting May 18-22 looming as a pivotal factor.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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