Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with a D+21 partisan voting index centered on urban Cincinnati, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the House election winner. Incumbent Greg Landsman holds a commanding lead in recent polling averages—often exceeding 30 points over Republican nominee Paul Lang—supported by superior fundraising, high Democratic turnout in early voting, and the district's consistent 70%+ Democratic presidential margins. No recent scandals, endorsements, or campaign shifts have eroded this edge since the August primaries. While structural advantages make an upset improbable, scenarios like a late Democratic scandal, anomalous GOP turnout surge, or legal challenges to vote counts could theoretically narrow odds before Election Day on November 5.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-03
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-03
$15,698 Vol.
$15,698 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$15,698 Vol.
$15,698 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$15,698 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with a D+21 partisan voting index centered on urban Cincinnati, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the House election winner. Incumbent Greg Landsman holds a commanding lead in recent polling averages—often exceeding 30 points over Republican nominee Paul Lang—supported by superior fundraising, high Democratic turnout in early voting, and the district's consistent 70%+ Democratic presidential margins. No recent scandals, endorsements, or campaign shifts have eroded this edge since the August primaries. While structural advantages make an upset improbable, scenarios like a late Democratic scandal, anomalous GOP turnout surge, or legal challenges to vote counts could theoretically narrow odds before Election Day on November 5.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$15,698Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with a D+21 partisan voting index centered on urban Cincinnati, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the House election winner. Incumbent Greg Landsman holds a commanding lead in recent polling averages—often exceeding 30 points over Republican nominee Paul Lang—supported by superior fundraising, high Democratic turnout in early voting, and the district's consistent 70%+ Democratic presidential margins. No recent scandals, endorsements, or campaign shifts have eroded this edge since the August primaries. While structural advantages make an upset improbable, scenarios like a late Democratic scandal, anomalous GOP turnout surge, or legal challenges to vote counts could theoretically narrow odds before Election Day on November 5.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,698Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold with a D+21 partisan voting index centered on urban Cincinnati, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the House election winner. Incumbent Greg Landsman holds a commanding lead in recent polling averages—often exceeding 30 points over Republican nominee Paul Lang—supported by superior fundraising, high Democratic turnout in early voting, and the district's consistent 70%+ Democratic presidential margins. No recent scandals, endorsements, or campaign shifts have eroded this edge since the August primaries. While structural advantages make an upset improbable, scenarios like a late Democratic scandal, anomalous GOP turnout surge, or legal challenges to vote counts could theoretically narrow odds before Election Day on November 5.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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