Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's strong fundraising—over $1.5 million raised with $580,000 cash on hand as of late March—and long tenure since 1994 anchor trader consensus at 93.8% for a Democratic Party win in California's 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 partisan voter index. The Silicon Valley-area seat delivered Harris a 62.6%-34.2% presidential margin in 2024, where Lofgren won 64.6%, mirroring historical double-digit Democratic general election victories. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, challengers like Republican Shane Lewis trail far in funds, making a GOP general election advance unlikely. Late-breaking scandals, health issues for Lofgren, or a surprise primary upset could challenge this outlook, though structural district lean favors Democrats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-18 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-18 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$34,710 Vol.
$34,710 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
4%
$34,710 Vol.
$34,710 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$16,688 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$18,022 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's strong fundraising—over $1.5 million raised with $580,000 cash on hand as of late March—and long tenure since 1994 anchor trader consensus at 93.8% for a Democratic Party win in California's 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 partisan voter index. The Silicon Valley-area seat delivered Harris a 62.6%-34.2% presidential margin in 2024, where Lofgren won 64.6%, mirroring historical double-digit Democratic general election victories. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, challengers like Republican Shane Lewis trail far in funds, making a GOP general election advance unlikely. Late-breaking scandals, health issues for Lofgren, or a surprise primary upset could challenge this outlook, though structural district lean favors Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$34,710Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's strong fundraising—over $1.5 million raised with $580,000 cash on hand as of late March—and long tenure since 1994 anchor trader consensus at 93.8% for a Democratic Party win in California's 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 partisan voter index. The Silicon Valley-area seat delivered Harris a 62.6%-34.2% presidential margin in 2024, where Lofgren won 64.6%, mirroring historical double-digit Democratic general election victories. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, challengers like Republican Shane Lewis trail far in funds, making a GOP general election advance unlikely. Late-breaking scandals, health issues for Lofgren, or a surprise primary upset could challenge this outlook, though structural district lean favors Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$34,710Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's strong fundraising—over $1.5 million raised with $580,000 cash on hand as of late March—and long tenure since 1994 anchor trader consensus at 93.8% for a Democratic Party win in California's 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 partisan voter index. The Silicon Valley-area seat delivered Harris a 62.6%-34.2% presidential margin in 2024, where Lofgren won 64.6%, mirroring historical double-digit Democratic general election victories. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, challengers like Republican Shane Lewis trail far in funds, making a GOP general election advance unlikely. Late-breaking scandals, health issues for Lofgren, or a surprise primary upset could challenge this outlook, though structural district lean favors Democrats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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