High polarization between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda has sustained strong voter engagement ahead of the June 21 runoff, following a first-round turnout of 57.89 percent—the highest in recent Colombian presidential contests. The May 31 results showed the two finalists capturing over 84 percent of valid votes amid structural divides, with analysts noting that mobilization of the roughly 42 percent abstainers, centrist supporters of eliminated candidates, and undecided voters could lift participation further. Runoff dynamics, including endorsements from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia and appeals to swing blocs in key regions, have reinforced trader expectations that participation will exceed the first round. This positions the 60-64 percent band as the consensus range, while lower brackets reflect uncertainty over whether abstention patterns from the initial vote will persist.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSegunda vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales en Colombia: participación
Segunda vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales en Colombia: participación
60-64% 97.0%
52-56% 1.1%
<52% <1%
56-60% <1%
$80,406 Vol.
$80,406 Vol.
22 jun 2026
<52%
No
52-56%
No
56-60%
No
60-64%
Sí
64% o más
No
60-64% 97.0%
52-56% 1.1%
<52% <1%
56-60% <1%
$80,406 Vol.
$80,406 Vol.
22 jun 2026
<52%
$4,887 Vol.
No
52-56%
$11,558 Vol.
No
56-60%
$15,477 Vol.
No
60-64%
$35,018 Vol.
Sí
64% o más
$13,465 Vol.
No
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).High polarization between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda has sustained strong voter engagement ahead of the June 21 runoff, following a first-round turnout of 57.89 percent—the highest in recent Colombian presidential contests. The May 31 results showed the two finalists capturing over 84 percent of valid votes amid structural divides, with analysts noting that mobilization of the roughly 42 percent abstainers, centrist supporters of eliminated candidates, and undecided voters could lift participation further. Runoff dynamics, including endorsements from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia and appeals to swing blocs in key regions, have reinforced trader expectations that participation will exceed the first round. This positions the 60-64 percent band as the consensus range, while lower brackets reflect uncertainty over whether abstention patterns from the initial vote will persist.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$80,406Fecha de finalización
22 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).High polarization between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda has sustained strong voter engagement ahead of the June 21 runoff, following a first-round turnout of 57.89 percent—the highest in recent Colombian presidential contests. The May 31 results showed the two finalists capturing over 84 percent of valid votes amid structural divides, with analysts noting that mobilization of the roughly 42 percent abstainers, centrist supporters of eliminated candidates, and undecided voters could lift participation further. Runoff dynamics, including endorsements from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia and appeals to swing blocs in key regions, have reinforced trader expectations that participation will exceed the first round. This positions the 60-64 percent band as the consensus range, while lower brackets reflect uncertainty over whether abstention patterns from the initial vote will persist.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$80,406Fecha de finalización
22 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
High polarization between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda has sustained strong voter engagement ahead of the June 21 runoff, following a first-round turnout of 57.89 percent—the highest in recent Colombian presidential contests. The May 31 results showed the two finalists capturing over 84 percent of valid votes amid structural divides, with analysts noting that mobilization of the roughly 42 percent abstainers, centrist supporters of eliminated candidates, and undecided voters could lift participation further. Runoff dynamics, including endorsements from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia and appeals to swing blocs in key regions, have reinforced trader expectations that participation will exceed the first round. This positions the 60-64 percent band as the consensus range, while lower brackets reflect uncertainty over whether abstention patterns from the initial vote will persist.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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