California's top-two primary on March 3, 2026, for governor advances the two highest vote-getters to the general election regardless of party, with term-limited incumbent Gavin Newsom ineligible to seek reelection. Recent UC Berkeley polling shows Rep. Katie Porter leading at 19%, trailed by Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis (15%) and Sen. Adam Schiff (14%), buoyed by Porter's strong fundraising and statewide name recognition from her Senate bid. Vice President Kamala Harris's September announcement declining to enter solidified the Democratic-heavy field, including challengers like Tony Thurmond and Antonio Villaraigosa. No major shifts in the past 30 days; traders eye January signature deadlines for ballot qualification, potential endorsements, and early debates that could reshape frontrunners in the blue-leaning state.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$156,757 Vol.
Elaine Culotti
94%
Eric Swalwell
72%
Steve Hilton
56%
Chad Bianco
36%
Tom Steyer
27%
Matt Mahan
21%
Katie Porter
19%
Ché Ahn
12%
Xavier Becerra
8%
Betty Yee
6%
Tony Thurmond
5%
Ryan Tillman
5%
Sharifah Hardie
4%
Jimmy Parker
4%
Dylan Colbert
3%
Daniel Mercuri
3%
Ethan Agarwal
3%
Nicki Minaj
3%
Derek Grasty
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
2%
Leo Zacky
2%
David Serpa
2%
Javen Allen
12%
Leonard Jackson
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Carolina Buhler
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Ian Calderón
1%
Thunder Parley
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
David Thelen
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
$156,757 Vol.
Elaine Culotti
94%
Eric Swalwell
72%
Steve Hilton
56%
Chad Bianco
36%
Tom Steyer
27%
Matt Mahan
21%
Katie Porter
19%
Ché Ahn
12%
Xavier Becerra
8%
Betty Yee
6%
Tony Thurmond
5%
Ryan Tillman
5%
Sharifah Hardie
4%
Jimmy Parker
4%
Dylan Colbert
3%
Daniel Mercuri
3%
Ethan Agarwal
3%
Nicki Minaj
3%
Derek Grasty
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
2%
Leo Zacky
2%
David Serpa
2%
Javen Allen
12%
Leonard Jackson
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Carolina Buhler
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Ian Calderón
1%
Thunder Parley
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
David Thelen
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's top-two primary on March 3, 2026, for governor advances the two highest vote-getters to the general election regardless of party, with term-limited incumbent Gavin Newsom ineligible to seek reelection. Recent UC Berkeley polling shows Rep. Katie Porter leading at 19%, trailed by Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis (15%) and Sen. Adam Schiff (14%), buoyed by Porter's strong fundraising and statewide name recognition from her Senate bid. Vice President Kamala Harris's September announcement declining to enter solidified the Democratic-heavy field, including challengers like Tony Thurmond and Antonio Villaraigosa. No major shifts in the past 30 days; traders eye January signature deadlines for ballot qualification, potential endorsements, and early debates that could reshape frontrunners in the blue-leaning state.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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