Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska
Tom Begich 41%
Bernadette Wilson 24%
Treg Taylor 8.0%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 8.0%
$984,247 Vol.
$984,247 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Tom Begich
$117,846 Vol.
41%
Bernadette Wilson
$151,968 Vol.
24%
Treg Taylor
$20,339 Vol.
8%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
$7,727 Vol.
8%
Nancy Dahlstrom
$118,066 Vol.
5%
Click Bishop
$9,628 Vol.
5%
David Bronson
$11,110 Vol.
5%
Matt Claman
$5,757 Vol.
<1%
Matt Heilala
$30,148 Vol.
<1%
James Parkin
$104,309 Vol.
<1%
Adam Crum
$40,891 Vol.
<1%
Shelley Hughes
$10,278 Vol.
<1%
Mary Peltola
$324,881 Vol.
<1%
Edna DeVries
$8,930 Vol.
<1%
Lisa Murkowski
$14,016 Vol.
<1%
Hank Kroll
$3,455 Vol.
<1%
Bruce Walden
$4,898 Vol.
<1%
Tom Begich 41%
Bernadette Wilson 24%
Treg Taylor 8.0%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 8.0%
$984,247 Vol.
$984,247 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Tom Begich
$117,846 Vol.
41%
Bernadette Wilson
$151,968 Vol.
24%
Treg Taylor
$20,339 Vol.
8%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
$7,727 Vol.
8%
Nancy Dahlstrom
$118,066 Vol.
5%
Click Bishop
$9,628 Vol.
5%
David Bronson
$11,110 Vol.
5%
Matt Claman
$5,757 Vol.
<1%
Matt Heilala
$30,148 Vol.
<1%
James Parkin
$104,309 Vol.
<1%
Adam Crum
$40,891 Vol.
<1%
Shelley Hughes
$10,278 Vol.
<1%
Mary Peltola
$324,881 Vol.
<1%
Edna DeVries
$8,930 Vol.
<1%
Lisa Murkowski
$14,016 Vol.
<1%
Hank Kroll
$3,455 Vol.
<1%
Bruce Walden
$4,898 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Tom Begich leads trader consensus in the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting his early entry as the first Democrat to file, strong name recognition from prior state Senate service, and recent polling averages showing him ahead of the fragmented field. Bernadette Wilson sits second at 23.5% amid a crowded Republican primary that includes multiple former officials and legislators, with her business background and endorsements providing a base in a state where the open seat favors GOP contenders under the nonpartisan top-four primary and ranked-choice general election system. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and other Democrats trail further behind at single digits, consistent with lower visibility and fundraising compared to Begich, while lower-probability Republicans such as Treg Taylor and Nancy Dahlstrom remain limited by vote-splitting risks ahead of the August primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Tom Begich leads trader consensus in the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting his early entry as the first Democrat to file, strong name recognition from prior state Senate service, and recent polling averages showing him ahead of the fragmented field. Bernadette Wilson sits second at 23.5% amid a crowded Republican primary that includes multiple former officials and legislators, with her business background and endorsements providing a base in a state where the open seat favors GOP contenders under the nonpartisan top-four primary and ranked-choice general election system. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and other Democrats trail further behind at single digits, consistent with lower visibility and fundraising compared to Begich, while lower-probability Republicans such as Treg Taylor and Nancy Dahlstrom remain limited by vote-splitting risks ahead of the August primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 27 2026
Poll shows Tom Begich leading Alaska gubernatorial primary race
A Dittman Research poll commissioned by a Republican candidate showed Democrat Tom Begich leading the primary race with 21% support, indicating his strong position among voters and influencing market confidence in his candidacy.
Apr 26 2026
Tom Begich sees surge in market support
Tom Begich jumps to 38%13%
A late-stage rally in market support for Tom Begich pushed his price to 38%, reflecting shifting expectations in the gubernatorial race.
Apr 2 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins enters the race
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins surges to 48%38%
The entry of Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins into the gubernatorial race caused an immediate spike in his market price as voters and analysts assessed his candidacy.
Mar 17 2026
Treg Taylor gains traction in gubernatorial race
Treg Taylor surges to 17%15%
Treg Taylor's campaign saw a significant surge in market interest following increased visibility and campaign activity in mid-March.
Feb 19 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Republican candidates Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases. This move solidified their conservative credentials and likely influenced market confidence in their candidacies.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces run for Alaska governor
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins plunges to 8%40%
Former state legislator Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins declared his candidacy for governor, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat in the race. His entry introduced a new dynamic to the Democratic field and affected market perceptions of his chances.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces gubernatorial candidacy
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, a former state legislator, officially entered the 2026 Alaska governor race, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat. His entry initially raised market interest in his chances due to his legislative experience and focus on fiscal issues.
Jan 10 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Bernadette Wilson rises to 22%4%
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor publicly committed to opposing all tax increases by signing the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, signaling fiscal conservatism and appealing to Republican voters, which affected their market support.
Jan 10 2026
Alaska Young Republicans host State Convention with gubernatorial candidates
The Alaska Young Republicans held a state convention featuring ten Republican gubernatorial candidates discussing key issues and their platforms. This event provided voters and markets with insights into candidate positions, affecting market perceptions especially for candidates like Bernadette Wilson, Treg Taylor, and others.
Jan 5 2026
Tim Walz drops Minnesota gubernatorial bid
The withdrawal of a high-profile governor from a different state's race signaled broader political shifts, impacting the overall market sentiment for gubernatorial candidates.
Oct 14 2025
Market prices adjust sharply following initial launch
Prices for all candidates dropped significantly from the 50% opening, indicating a rapid market correction as participants assessed the field.
Oct 13 2025
Market opens with high uncertainty for all candidates
The market launched with all candidates priced at 50%, reflecting high initial uncertainty regarding the 2026 gubernatorial race.
Oct 13 2025
Former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum faces review over private equity investment
An investigation revealed that former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum deviated from state law and failed to perform due diligence when investing state savings, impacting his political standing as he launched a gubernatorial bid.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Tom Begich leads trader consensus in the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting his early entry as the first Democrat to file, strong name recognition from prior state Senate service, and recent polling averages showing him ahead of the fragmented field. Bernadette Wilson sits second at 23.5% amid a crowded Republican primary that includes multiple former officials and legislators, with her business background and endorsements providing a base in a state where the open seat favors GOP contenders under the nonpartisan top-four primary and ranked-choice general election system. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and other Democrats trail further behind at single digits, consistent with lower visibility and fundraising compared to Begich, while lower-probability Republicans such as Treg Taylor and Nancy Dahlstrom remain limited by vote-splitting risks ahead of the August primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Tom Begich leads trader consensus in the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting his early entry as the first Democrat to file, strong name recognition from prior state Senate service, and recent polling averages showing him ahead of the fragmented field. Bernadette Wilson sits second at 23.5% amid a crowded Republican primary that includes multiple former officials and legislators, with her business background and endorsements providing a base in a state where the open seat favors GOP contenders under the nonpartisan top-four primary and ranked-choice general election system. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and other Democrats trail further behind at single digits, consistent with lower visibility and fundraising compared to Begich, while lower-probability Republicans such as Treg Taylor and Nancy Dahlstrom remain limited by vote-splitting risks ahead of the August primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 27 2026
Poll shows Tom Begich leading Alaska gubernatorial primary race
A Dittman Research poll commissioned by a Republican candidate showed Democrat Tom Begich leading the primary race with 21% support, indicating his strong position among voters and influencing market confidence in his candidacy.
Apr 26 2026
Tom Begich sees surge in market support
Tom Begich jumps to 38%13%
A late-stage rally in market support for Tom Begich pushed his price to 38%, reflecting shifting expectations in the gubernatorial race.
Apr 2 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins enters the race
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins surges to 48%38%
The entry of Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins into the gubernatorial race caused an immediate spike in his market price as voters and analysts assessed his candidacy.
Mar 17 2026
Treg Taylor gains traction in gubernatorial race
Treg Taylor surges to 17%15%
Treg Taylor's campaign saw a significant surge in market interest following increased visibility and campaign activity in mid-March.
Feb 19 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Republican candidates Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases. This move solidified their conservative credentials and likely influenced market confidence in their candidacies.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces run for Alaska governor
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins plunges to 8%40%
Former state legislator Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins declared his candidacy for governor, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat in the race. His entry introduced a new dynamic to the Democratic field and affected market perceptions of his chances.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces gubernatorial candidacy
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, a former state legislator, officially entered the 2026 Alaska governor race, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat. His entry initially raised market interest in his chances due to his legislative experience and focus on fiscal issues.
Jan 10 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Bernadette Wilson rises to 22%4%
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor publicly committed to opposing all tax increases by signing the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, signaling fiscal conservatism and appealing to Republican voters, which affected their market support.
Jan 10 2026
Alaska Young Republicans host State Convention with gubernatorial candidates
The Alaska Young Republicans held a state convention featuring ten Republican gubernatorial candidates discussing key issues and their platforms. This event provided voters and markets with insights into candidate positions, affecting market perceptions especially for candidates like Bernadette Wilson, Treg Taylor, and others.
Jan 5 2026
Tim Walz drops Minnesota gubernatorial bid
The withdrawal of a high-profile governor from a different state's race signaled broader political shifts, impacting the overall market sentiment for gubernatorial candidates.
Oct 14 2025
Market prices adjust sharply following initial launch
Prices for all candidates dropped significantly from the 50% opening, indicating a rapid market correction as participants assessed the field.
Oct 13 2025
Market opens with high uncertainty for all candidates
The market launched with all candidates priced at 50%, reflecting high initial uncertainty regarding the 2026 gubernatorial race.
Oct 13 2025
Former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum faces review over private equity investment
An investigation revealed that former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum deviated from state law and failed to perform due diligence when investing state savings, impacting his political standing as he launched a gubernatorial bid.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tom Begich" con 41%, seguido de "Bernadette Wilson" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 41¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " ha generado $984.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " es "Tom Begich" con 41%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Bernadette Wilson" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $984.2K operados en “Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 41¢ para "Tom Begich" en el mercado "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 41% de que "Tom Begich" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 41¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 59¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Nov 3, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " fue creado recientemente. Sé uno de los primeros en compartir tu análisis publicando un comentario abajo, o vuelve más adelante. También puedes ver la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones recientes.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes