With Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial contest remains tightly contested in trader consensus, as Democrat Tom Begich edges Matt Claman and Republicans Bruce Walden and Hank Kroll amid a fragmented field of 18 candidates vying for the August 18 top-four nonpartisan primary. Early February fundraising reports highlighted six-figure hauls for Begich ($350,000), Claman, former AG Treg Taylor ($880,000), and ex-Rep. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins ($750,000), signaling broad viability without a breakout leader, consistent with February Lake Research polling showing Begich at 22% and high undecideds. Independent attorney Gregg Brelsford's March 27 filing further dilutes support, while recent forums like AVCP's March 31 event have yet to create separation. Endorsements from oil industry, tribes, or Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom backers, plus June 1 filing deadline polls, could consolidate paths to the ranked-choice general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoCandidato D 48%
Candidato C 48%
Candidato B 45%
Tom Begich 31%
$706,095 Vol.
$706,095 Vol.

Candidato D
48%

Candidato C
48%

Candidato B
45%

Tom Begich
31%

Candidato A
21%

Bernadette Wilson
20%

Treg Taylor
13%

Nancy Dahlstrom
9%

Edna DeVries
8%

Click Bishop
5%

Lisa Murkowski
5%

James Parkin
4%

David Bronson
4%

Shelley Hughes
3%

Mary Peltola
3%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%
Candidato D 48%
Candidato C 48%
Candidato B 45%
Tom Begich 31%
$706,095 Vol.
$706,095 Vol.

Candidato D
48%

Candidato C
48%

Candidato B
45%

Tom Begich
31%

Candidato A
21%

Bernadette Wilson
20%

Treg Taylor
13%

Nancy Dahlstrom
9%

Edna DeVries
8%

Click Bishop
5%

Lisa Murkowski
5%

James Parkin
4%

David Bronson
4%

Shelley Hughes
3%

Mary Peltola
3%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial contest remains tightly contested in trader consensus, as Democrat Tom Begich edges Matt Claman and Republicans Bruce Walden and Hank Kroll amid a fragmented field of 18 candidates vying for the August 18 top-four nonpartisan primary. Early February fundraising reports highlighted six-figure hauls for Begich ($350,000), Claman, former AG Treg Taylor ($880,000), and ex-Rep. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins ($750,000), signaling broad viability without a breakout leader, consistent with February Lake Research polling showing Begich at 22% and high undecideds. Independent attorney Gregg Brelsford's March 27 filing further dilutes support, while recent forums like AVCP's March 31 event have yet to create separation. Endorsements from oil industry, tribes, or Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom backers, plus June 1 filing deadline polls, could consolidate paths to the ranked-choice general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes