Traders overwhelmingly favor the Scottish National Party (SNP) to claim the most seats in the Scottish Parliament election on May 7, 2026, reflecting its dominant position in recent polling averages where it leads Scottish Labour by 8-12 points amid fragmented opposition from Conservatives, Liberal Democrats, and Greens. Under the additional member proportional system, the incumbent SNP—led by First Minister John Swinney since his unopposed May 2024 ascension—benefits from recovering support post-2021 highs and 2024 leadership turbulence, with no significant shifts in the past week from budget debates or party conferences. Scenarios that could challenge this include a national Labour surge spilling into Scotland, major SNP scandals, economic downturns eroding independence momentum, or shifts in voter turnout among unionist blocs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Escocia
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Escocia
Partido Nacional Escocés 96.4%
Partido Laborista Escocés 1.2%
Reform UK 1.1%
Demócratas Liberales Escoceses <1%
$1,195,672 Vol.
$1,195,672 Vol.
May 7, 2026
Partido Nacional Escocés
96%
Partido Laborista Escocés
1%
Reform UK
1%
Demócratas Liberales Escoceses
1%
Partido Soberanía
1%
Partido Verde Escocés
<1%
Conservadores Escoceses
<1%
Partido Alba
<1%
Partido Nacional Escocés 96.4%
Partido Laborista Escocés 1.2%
Reform UK 1.1%
Demócratas Liberales Escoceses <1%
$1,195,672 Vol.
$1,195,672 Vol.
May 7, 2026
Partido Nacional Escocés
$930,843 Vol.
96%
Partido Laborista Escocés
$40,071 Vol.
1%
Reform UK
$62,498 Vol.
1%
Demócratas Liberales Escoceses
$102,372 Vol.
1%
Partido Soberanía
$3,803 Vol.
1%
Partido Verde Escocés
$35,534 Vol.
<1%
Conservadores Escoceses
$4,632 Vol.
<1%
Partido Alba
$15,921 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election.
If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).Traders overwhelmingly favor the Scottish National Party (SNP) to claim the most seats in the Scottish Parliament election on May 7, 2026, reflecting its dominant position in recent polling averages where it leads Scottish Labour by 8-12 points amid fragmented opposition from Conservatives, Liberal Democrats, and Greens. Under the additional member proportional system, the incumbent SNP—led by First Minister John Swinney since his unopposed May 2024 ascension—benefits from recovering support post-2021 highs and 2024 leadership turbulence, with no significant shifts in the past week from budget debates or party conferences. Scenarios that could challenge this include a national Labour surge spilling into Scotland, major SNP scandals, economic downturns eroding independence momentum, or shifts in voter turnout among unionist blocs.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election.
If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election.
If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET
Volumen
$1,195,672Fecha de finalización
May 7, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election.
If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).Traders overwhelmingly favor the Scottish National Party (SNP) to claim the most seats in the Scottish Parliament election on May 7, 2026, reflecting its dominant position in recent polling averages where it leads Scottish Labour by 8-12 points amid fragmented opposition from Conservatives, Liberal Democrats, and Greens. Under the additional member proportional system, the incumbent SNP—led by First Minister John Swinney since his unopposed May 2024 ascension—benefits from recovering support post-2021 highs and 2024 leadership turbulence, with no significant shifts in the past week from budget debates or party conferences. Scenarios that could challenge this include a national Labour surge spilling into Scotland, major SNP scandals, economic downturns eroding independence momentum, or shifts in voter turnout among unionist blocs.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election.
If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election.
If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).
Volumen
$1,195,672Fecha de finalización
May 7, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders overwhelmingly favor the Scottish National Party (SNP) to claim the most seats in the Scottish Parliament election on May 7, 2026, reflecting its dominant position in recent polling averages where it leads Scottish Labour by 8-12 points amid fragmented opposition from Conservatives, Liberal Democrats, and Greens. Under the additional member proportional system, the incumbent SNP—led by First Minister John Swinney since his unopposed May 2024 ascension—benefits from recovering support post-2021 highs and 2024 leadership turbulence, with no significant shifts in the past week from budget debates or party conferences. Scenarios that could challenge this include a national Labour surge spilling into Scotland, major SNP scandals, economic downturns eroding independence momentum, or shifts in voter turnout among unionist blocs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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