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Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

15% chance
Polymarket
NEW
15% chance
Polymarket
NEW
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability against passage of Missouri's proposed constitutional amendment to ban most abortions except in cases of medical emergency, fetal anomaly, rape, or incest, while prohibiting gender transition procedures for minors. This skepticism stems from voters' 2024 approval of Amendment 3 enshrining reproductive rights, creating a high bar for reversal. A March 17 St. Louis University/YouGov poll showed plurality support—boosted by two-thirds favoring the gender-affirming care restrictions, already temporarily in place with Supreme Court upholding in January—but overall backing falls short of a majority needed for November 2026 ballot success. Recent Catholic bishops' endorsement underscores pro-life momentum, yet abortion opposition in battleground state polling keeps odds firmly against.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability against passage of Missouri's proposed constitutional amendment to ban most abortions except in cases of medical emergency, fetal anomaly, rape, or incest, while prohibiting gender transition procedures for minors. This skepticism stems from voters' 2024 approval of Amendment 3 enshrining reproductive rights, creating a high bar for reversal. A March 17 St. Louis University/YouGov poll showed plurality support—boosted by two-thirds favoring the gender-affirming care restrictions, already temporarily in place with Supreme Court upholding in January—but overall backing falls short of a majority needed for November 2026 ballot success. Recent Catholic bishops' endorsement underscores pro-life momentum, yet abortion opposition in battleground state polling keeps odds firmly against.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability against passage of Missouri's proposed constitutional amendment to ban most abortions except in cases of medical emergency, fetal anomaly, rape, or incest, while prohibiting gender transition procedures for minors. This skepticism stems from voters' 2024 approval of Amendment 3 enshrining reproductive rights, creating a high bar for reversal. A March 17 St. Louis University/YouGov poll showed plurality support—boosted by two-thirds favoring the gender-affirming care restrictions, already temporarily in place with Supreme Court upholding in January—but overall backing falls short of a majority needed for November 2026 ballot success. Recent Catholic bishops' endorsement underscores pro-life momentum, yet abortion opposition in battleground state polling keeps odds firmly against.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability against passage of Missouri's proposed constitutional amendment to ban most abortions except in cases of medical emergency, fetal anomaly, rape, or incest, while prohibiting gender transition procedures for minors. This skepticism stems from voters' 2024 approval of Amendment 3 enshrining reproductive rights, creating a high bar for reversal. A March 17 St. Louis University/YouGov poll showed plurality support—boosted by two-thirds favoring the gender-affirming care restrictions, already temporarily in place with Supreme Court upholding in January—but overall backing falls short of a majority needed for November 2026 ballot success. Recent Catholic bishops' endorsement underscores pro-life momentum, yet abortion opposition in battleground state polling keeps odds firmly against.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

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Preguntas frecuentes

"Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 15% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 15¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 15% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 2, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?" es 15% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 15% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.