Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin secured the Democratic endorsement for Connecticut’s 1st Congressional District at the May nominating convention, defeating 14-term incumbent John Larson by 10 votes on the final ballot in a rare upset that positions Bronin atop the August 11 primary ballot. This outcome, combined with a late-May VoteVets poll showing Bronin ahead of Larson 38 percent to 30 percent, has driven trader consensus toward Bronin as the frontrunner. Larson has responded by attempting to reframe the contest as an ideological divide, while state Representative Jillian Gilchrest’s qualification for the three-way primary ballot adds a potential spoiler dynamic that could influence final vote shares among the remaining contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la primaria demócrata CT-01
Luke Bronin 59%
John Larson 38%
Jillian Gilchrest 3.0%
Ruth Fortune 2.8%
$10,577 Vol.
$10,577 Vol.
Luke Bronin
59%
John Larson
38%
Jillian Gilchrest
3%
Ruth Fortune
3%
Mark Stewart Greenstein
1%
Luke Bronin 59%
John Larson 38%
Jillian Gilchrest 3.0%
Ruth Fortune 2.8%
$10,577 Vol.
$10,577 Vol.
Luke Bronin
59%
John Larson
38%
Jillian Gilchrest
3%
Ruth Fortune
3%
Mark Stewart Greenstein
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin secured the Democratic endorsement for Connecticut’s 1st Congressional District at the May nominating convention, defeating 14-term incumbent John Larson by 10 votes on the final ballot in a rare upset that positions Bronin atop the August 11 primary ballot. This outcome, combined with a late-May VoteVets poll showing Bronin ahead of Larson 38 percent to 30 percent, has driven trader consensus toward Bronin as the frontrunner. Larson has responded by attempting to reframe the contest as an ideological divide, while state Representative Jillian Gilchrest’s qualification for the three-way primary ballot adds a potential spoiler dynamic that could influence final vote shares among the remaining contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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