The retirement of Republican incumbent Joni Ernst has created an open Senate seat in Iowa, a state that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Ashley Hinson leads the Republican primary and has outraised rivals, positioning her as the likely nominee against the winner of the closely watched June 2 Democratic primary between Josh Turek and Zach Wahls. General election polling shows narrow Republican edges in head-to-head matchups, consistent with Iowa's electoral patterns and forecaster ratings of the race as likely Republican. National Democratic spending has targeted the contest, but trader pricing reflects the structural advantages for the GOP in this environment ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Iowa
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Iowa
$117,948 Vol.
$117,948 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
62%
Demócrata
39%
$117,948 Vol.
$117,948 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$54,017 Vol.
62%
Demócrata
$63,978 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The retirement of Republican incumbent Joni Ernst has created an open Senate seat in Iowa, a state that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Ashley Hinson leads the Republican primary and has outraised rivals, positioning her as the likely nominee against the winner of the closely watched June 2 Democratic primary between Josh Turek and Zach Wahls. General election polling shows narrow Republican edges in head-to-head matchups, consistent with Iowa's electoral patterns and forecaster ratings of the race as likely Republican. National Democratic spending has targeted the contest, but trader pricing reflects the structural advantages for the GOP in this environment ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Volumen
$117,948Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The retirement of Republican incumbent Joni Ernst has created an open Senate seat in Iowa, a state that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Ashley Hinson leads the Republican primary and has outraised rivals, positioning her as the likely nominee against the winner of the closely watched June 2 Democratic primary between Josh Turek and Zach Wahls. General election polling shows narrow Republican edges in head-to-head matchups, consistent with Iowa's electoral patterns and forecaster ratings of the race as likely Republican. National Democratic spending has targeted the contest, but trader pricing reflects the structural advantages for the GOP in this environment ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$117,948Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of Republican incumbent Joni Ernst has created an open Senate seat in Iowa, a state that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Ashley Hinson leads the Republican primary and has outraised rivals, positioning her as the likely nominee against the winner of the closely watched June 2 Democratic primary between Josh Turek and Zach Wahls. General election polling shows narrow Republican edges in head-to-head matchups, consistent with Iowa's electoral patterns and forecaster ratings of the race as likely Republican. National Democratic spending has targeted the contest, but trader pricing reflects the structural advantages for the GOP in this environment ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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