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Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Carolina del Sur

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Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Carolina del Sur

$13,311 Vol.

Polymarket

$13,311 Vol.

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Republicano

$5,439 Vol.

81%

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Demócrata

$7,872 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham's March 16 filing for a fifth term has solidified trader consensus on a Republican Senate hold in South Carolina, a deep-red stronghold where the GOP routinely dominates statewide races. Recent polls, including a March 17 Impact Research survey showing Graham leading Democratic pediatrician Annie Andrews 47%-42% among likely voters, reflect soft incumbent support amid primary challengers like Mark Lynch and Paul Dans, whose internal polling suggests a potential June 9 GOP runoff. Graham's 61% unfavorable rating in a separate March poll highlights vulnerabilities, but South Carolina's partisan history—Graham's 2020 win by 10 points—and weak Democratic infrastructure sustain 80.5% implied odds for Republican victory ahead of ongoing candidate filing through March 30.

Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham's March 16 filing for a fifth term has solidified trader consensus on a Republican Senate hold in South Carolina, a deep-red stronghold where the GOP routinely dominates statewide races. Recent polls, including a March 17 Impact Research survey showing Graham leading Democratic pediatrician Annie Andrews 47%-42% among likely voters, reflect soft incumbent support amid primary challengers like Mark Lynch and Paul Dans, whose internal polling suggests a potential June 9 GOP runoff. Graham's 61% unfavorable rating in a separate March poll highlights vulnerabilities, but South Carolina's partisan history—Graham's 2020 win by 10 points—and weak Democratic infrastructure sustain 80.5% implied odds for Republican victory ahead of ongoing candidate filing through March 30.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham's March 16 filing for a fifth term has solidified trader consensus on a Republican Senate hold in South Carolina, a deep-red stronghold where the GOP routinely dominates statewide races. Recent polls, including a March 17 Impact Research survey showing Graham leading Democratic pediatrician Annie Andrews 47%-42% among likely voters, reflect soft incumbent support amid primary challengers like Mark Lynch and Paul Dans, whose internal polling suggests a potential June 9 GOP runoff. Graham's 61% unfavorable rating in a separate March poll highlights vulnerabilities, but South Carolina's partisan history—Graham's 2020 win by 10 points—and weak Democratic infrastructure sustain 80.5% implied odds for Republican victory ahead of ongoing candidate filing through March 30.

Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham's March 16 filing for a fifth term has solidified trader consensus on a Republican Senate hold in South Carolina, a deep-red stronghold where the GOP routinely dominates statewide races. Recent polls, including a March 17 Impact Research survey showing Graham leading Democratic pediatrician Annie Andrews 47%-42% among likely voters, reflect soft incumbent support amid primary challengers like Mark Lynch and Paul Dans, whose internal polling suggests a potential June 9 GOP runoff. Graham's 61% unfavorable rating in a separate March poll highlights vulnerabilities, but South Carolina's partisan history—Graham's 2020 win by 10 points—and weak Democratic infrastructure sustain 80.5% implied odds for Republican victory ahead of ongoing candidate filing through March 30.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Carolina del Sur" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Republicano" con 81%, seguido de "Demócrata" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 81¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Carolina del Sur" ha generado $13.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Carolina del Sur", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Carolina del Sur" es "Republicano" con 81%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Demócrata" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Carolina del Sur" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.