Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham leads South Carolina's June 9 Republican primary amid challengers Mark Lynch and Paul Dans, per recent March polls from Pulse Opinion Research and others showing him at 41-48% with high undecideds and potential runoff risk, yet buoyed by President Trump's endorsement. The state's deep Republican lean—evident in Graham's 2020 ten-point win and Tim Scott's 2022 landslide—drives trader consensus at 80% for a GOP general election victory on November 3, despite Graham's 61% unfavorability in an Impact Research poll and a tight 47-42% matchup against Democrat Annie Andrews. Limited general polling underscores partisan structural advantages over individual vulnerabilities, with filing deadline March 30 potentially clarifying the field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Carolina del Sur
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Carolina del Sur
$13,311 Vol.
$13,311 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republicano
80%
Demócrata
20%
$13,311 Vol.
$13,311 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republicano
$5,439 Vol.
80%
Demócrata
$7,872 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham leads South Carolina's June 9 Republican primary amid challengers Mark Lynch and Paul Dans, per recent March polls from Pulse Opinion Research and others showing him at 41-48% with high undecideds and potential runoff risk, yet buoyed by President Trump's endorsement. The state's deep Republican lean—evident in Graham's 2020 ten-point win and Tim Scott's 2022 landslide—drives trader consensus at 80% for a GOP general election victory on November 3, despite Graham's 61% unfavorability in an Impact Research poll and a tight 47-42% matchup against Democrat Annie Andrews. Limited general polling underscores partisan structural advantages over individual vulnerabilities, with filing deadline March 30 potentially clarifying the field.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$13,311Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham leads South Carolina's June 9 Republican primary amid challengers Mark Lynch and Paul Dans, per recent March polls from Pulse Opinion Research and others showing him at 41-48% with high undecideds and potential runoff risk, yet buoyed by President Trump's endorsement. The state's deep Republican lean—evident in Graham's 2020 ten-point win and Tim Scott's 2022 landslide—drives trader consensus at 80% for a GOP general election victory on November 3, despite Graham's 61% unfavorability in an Impact Research poll and a tight 47-42% matchup against Democrat Annie Andrews. Limited general polling underscores partisan structural advantages over individual vulnerabilities, with filing deadline March 30 potentially clarifying the field.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$13,311Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham leads South Carolina's June 9 Republican primary amid challengers Mark Lynch and Paul Dans, per recent March polls from Pulse Opinion Research and others showing him at 41-48% with high undecideds and potential runoff risk, yet buoyed by President Trump's endorsement. The state's deep Republican lean—evident in Graham's 2020 ten-point win and Tim Scott's 2022 landslide—drives trader consensus at 80% for a GOP general election victory on November 3, despite Graham's 61% unfavorability in an Impact Research poll and a tight 47-42% matchup against Democrat Annie Andrews. Limited general polling underscores partisan structural advantages over individual vulnerabilities, with filing deadline March 30 potentially clarifying the field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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