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Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Texas

Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Texas

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
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Republicano

$2,649 Vol.

79%

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Demócrata

$3,192 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 79.5% in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance since 1995 and incumbent Greg Abbott's strong incumbency advantage after his 2022 reelection by 11 points. Recent University of Houston Hobby School polling from June shows Abbott leading hypothetical Democratic matchups, including Beto O'Rourke, by 10-15 points, fueled by voter priorities on border security and school choice where Republicans hold edges. No prominent Democratic challengers have declared, while GOP primary talk centers on Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick and AG Ken Paxton challenging Abbott, though his base remains solid. Primaries in March 2026 will shape the general election path.

Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 79.5% in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance since 1995 and incumbent Greg Abbott's strong incumbency advantage after his 2022 reelection by 11 points. Recent University of Houston Hobby School polling from June shows Abbott leading hypothetical Democratic matchups, including Beto O'Rourke, by 10-15 points, fueled by voter priorities on border security and school choice where Republicans hold edges. No prominent Democratic challengers have declared, while GOP primary talk centers on Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick and AG Ken Paxton challenging Abbott, though his base remains solid. Primaries in March 2026 will shape the general election path.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 79.5% in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance since 1995 and incumbent Greg Abbott's strong incumbency advantage after his 2022 reelection by 11 points. Recent University of Houston Hobby School polling from June shows Abbott leading hypothetical Democratic matchups, including Beto O'Rourke, by 10-15 points, fueled by voter priorities on border security and school choice where Republicans hold edges. No prominent Democratic challengers have declared, while GOP primary talk centers on Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick and AG Ken Paxton challenging Abbott, though his base remains solid. Primaries in March 2026 will shape the general election path.

Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 79.5% in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance since 1995 and incumbent Greg Abbott's strong incumbency advantage after his 2022 reelection by 11 points. Recent University of Houston Hobby School polling from June shows Abbott leading hypothetical Democratic matchups, including Beto O'Rourke, by 10-15 points, fueled by voter priorities on border security and school choice where Republicans hold edges. No prominent Democratic challengers have declared, while GOP primary talk centers on Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick and AG Ken Paxton challenging Abbott, though his base remains solid. Primaries in March 2026 will shape the general election path.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Texas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Republicano" con 79%, seguido de "Demócrata" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 79¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 79% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Texas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Oct 13, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Texas", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Texas" es "Republicano" con 79%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 79% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Demócrata" con 19%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Texas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.