Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% victory in the March 3 Republican primary against token opposition has solidified trader consensus at 89% for a GOP hold in Texas' 26th Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with a Cook PVI of R+11 where Donald Trump carried 61% in 2024. Democrat Steven Shook narrowly won his primary over 2024 nominee Ernest Lineberger, but faces steep barriers including Gill's $626,000 cash-on-hand advantage versus Shook's $466 as of February and the district's history of 60%+ Republican general election margins. No polls exist yet, but ratings from Cook and others label it Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-26
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-26
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
89%
Partido Demócrata
10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$3,381 Vol.
89%
Partido Demócrata
$2,924 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% victory in the March 3 Republican primary against token opposition has solidified trader consensus at 89% for a GOP hold in Texas' 26th Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with a Cook PVI of R+11 where Donald Trump carried 61% in 2024. Democrat Steven Shook narrowly won his primary over 2024 nominee Ernest Lineberger, but faces steep barriers including Gill's $626,000 cash-on-hand advantage versus Shook's $466 as of February and the district's history of 60%+ Republican general election margins. No polls exist yet, but ratings from Cook and others label it Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$6,305Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% victory in the March 3 Republican primary against token opposition has solidified trader consensus at 89% for a GOP hold in Texas' 26th Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with a Cook PVI of R+11 where Donald Trump carried 61% in 2024. Democrat Steven Shook narrowly won his primary over 2024 nominee Ernest Lineberger, but faces steep barriers including Gill's $626,000 cash-on-hand advantage versus Shook's $466 as of February and the district's history of 60%+ Republican general election margins. No polls exist yet, but ratings from Cook and others label it Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$6,305Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% victory in the March 3 Republican primary against token opposition has solidified trader consensus at 89% for a GOP hold in Texas' 26th Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with a Cook PVI of R+11 where Donald Trump carried 61% in 2024. Democrat Steven Shook narrowly won his primary over 2024 nominee Ernest Lineberger, but faces steep barriers including Gill's $626,000 cash-on-hand advantage versus Shook's $466 as of February and the district's history of 60%+ Republican general election margins. No polls exist yet, but ratings from Cook and others label it Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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