The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Sam Graves’ March 2026 retirement has not altered the district’s entrenched partisan tilt, with the 6th encompassing rural northern Missouri and parts of the Kansas City metro north of the Missouri River. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including radio host Chris Stigall and others, are competing ahead of the August 4 primary, while Democratic options remain limited. The seat’s consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and its strong rightward lean have produced the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in November. A major late primary scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMO-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MO-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$29,858 Vol.
$29,858 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$29,858 Vol.
$29,858 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$23,619 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$6,239 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Sam Graves’ March 2026 retirement has not altered the district’s entrenched partisan tilt, with the 6th encompassing rural northern Missouri and parts of the Kansas City metro north of the Missouri River. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including radio host Chris Stigall and others, are competing ahead of the August 4 primary, while Democratic options remain limited. The seat’s consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and its strong rightward lean have produced the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in November. A major late primary scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$29,858Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Sam Graves’ March 2026 retirement has not altered the district’s entrenched partisan tilt, with the 6th encompassing rural northern Missouri and parts of the Kansas City metro north of the Missouri River. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including radio host Chris Stigall and others, are competing ahead of the August 4 primary, while Democratic options remain limited. The seat’s consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and its strong rightward lean have produced the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in November. A major late primary scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$29,858Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Sam Graves’ March 2026 retirement has not altered the district’s entrenched partisan tilt, with the 6th encompassing rural northern Missouri and parts of the Kansas City metro north of the Missouri River. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including radio host Chris Stigall and others, are competing ahead of the August 4 primary, while Democratic options remain limited. The seat’s consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and its strong rightward lean have produced the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in November. A major late primary scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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