Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott has held the seat since 1993, backed by consistent primary performance and fundraising advantages ahead of the August 4 primary. Recent mid-decade redistricting efforts approved by voters in April 2026 remain stalled by court order, preserving the district's core demographics in Hampton Roads. This structural advantage limits Republican prospects in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, serious health issue for the incumbent, or successful legal challenge to the current map could still shift outcomes before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$35,429 Vol.
$35,429 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$35,429 Vol.
$35,429 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$20,073 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$15,357 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott has held the seat since 1993, backed by consistent primary performance and fundraising advantages ahead of the August 4 primary. Recent mid-decade redistricting efforts approved by voters in April 2026 remain stalled by court order, preserving the district's core demographics in Hampton Roads. This structural advantage limits Republican prospects in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, serious health issue for the incumbent, or successful legal challenge to the current map could still shift outcomes before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$35,429Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott has held the seat since 1993, backed by consistent primary performance and fundraising advantages ahead of the August 4 primary. Recent mid-decade redistricting efforts approved by voters in April 2026 remain stalled by court order, preserving the district's core demographics in Hampton Roads. This structural advantage limits Republican prospects in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, serious health issue for the incumbent, or successful legal challenge to the current map could still shift outcomes before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$35,429Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott has held the seat since 1993, backed by consistent primary performance and fundraising advantages ahead of the August 4 primary. Recent mid-decade redistricting efforts approved by voters in April 2026 remain stalled by court order, preserving the district's core demographics in Hampton Roads. This structural advantage limits Republican prospects in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, serious health issue for the incumbent, or successful legal challenge to the current map could still shift outcomes before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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