Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison dominates trader sentiment for Missouri's 7th Congressional District House seat, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting the district's R+21 Cook PVI and Solid Republican rating. Burlison's 71.6% 2024 victory margin, 83% primary win, and $858,000 cash-on-hand edge—versus Democrat Missi Hesketh's $20,000 after the March 31 filing deadline—underscore his strength amid historically lopsided GOP results exceeding 70% since 2010. Hesketh, who garnered 26% last cycle, faces an uphill path in the deep-red southwest Missouri district including Springfield. Scenarios to challenge include a GOP primary upset on August 4, Burlison scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national Democratic midterm surge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMO-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MO-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$19,120 Vol.
$19,120 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$19,120 Vol.
$19,120 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$15,755 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$3,365 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison dominates trader sentiment for Missouri's 7th Congressional District House seat, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting the district's R+21 Cook PVI and Solid Republican rating. Burlison's 71.6% 2024 victory margin, 83% primary win, and $858,000 cash-on-hand edge—versus Democrat Missi Hesketh's $20,000 after the March 31 filing deadline—underscore his strength amid historically lopsided GOP results exceeding 70% since 2010. Hesketh, who garnered 26% last cycle, faces an uphill path in the deep-red southwest Missouri district including Springfield. Scenarios to challenge include a GOP primary upset on August 4, Burlison scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national Democratic midterm surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$19,120Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison dominates trader sentiment for Missouri's 7th Congressional District House seat, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting the district's R+21 Cook PVI and Solid Republican rating. Burlison's 71.6% 2024 victory margin, 83% primary win, and $858,000 cash-on-hand edge—versus Democrat Missi Hesketh's $20,000 after the March 31 filing deadline—underscore his strength amid historically lopsided GOP results exceeding 70% since 2010. Hesketh, who garnered 26% last cycle, faces an uphill path in the deep-red southwest Missouri district including Springfield. Scenarios to challenge include a GOP primary upset on August 4, Burlison scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national Democratic midterm surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$19,120Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison dominates trader sentiment for Missouri's 7th Congressional District House seat, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting the district's R+21 Cook PVI and Solid Republican rating. Burlison's 71.6% 2024 victory margin, 83% primary win, and $858,000 cash-on-hand edge—versus Democrat Missi Hesketh's $20,000 after the March 31 filing deadline—underscore his strength amid historically lopsided GOP results exceeding 70% since 2010. Hesketh, who garnered 26% last cycle, faces an uphill path in the deep-red southwest Missouri district including Springfield. Scenarios to challenge include a GOP primary upset on August 4, Burlison scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national Democratic midterm surge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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