Incumbent Rep. Ben Cline (R) holds a slim trader consensus edge at 51% in VA-06, a Solid Republican district (R+12 PVI per Cook Political Report), amid uncertainty from the April 21 redistricting referendum that could redraw maps to create a more competitive 6th District by adding Democratic areas like Charlottesville and Albemarle County. Cline has mobilized opposition, including a new group for get-out-the-vote efforts against what he calls a partisan Democratic gerrymander aiming for a 10-1 D advantage statewide. A crowded Democratic primary—featuring author Beth Macy (strong fundraising), former Del. Wendy Gooditis, Pete Barlow, and Ken Mitchell—signals recruitment energy, while no polls yet exist ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Referendum results and national midterm headwinds could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoVA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$22,480 Vol.
$22,480 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
51%
Partido Demócrata
49%
$22,480 Vol.
$22,480 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,390 Vol.
51%
Partido Demócrata
$14,090 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Ben Cline (R) holds a slim trader consensus edge at 51% in VA-06, a Solid Republican district (R+12 PVI per Cook Political Report), amid uncertainty from the April 21 redistricting referendum that could redraw maps to create a more competitive 6th District by adding Democratic areas like Charlottesville and Albemarle County. Cline has mobilized opposition, including a new group for get-out-the-vote efforts against what he calls a partisan Democratic gerrymander aiming for a 10-1 D advantage statewide. A crowded Democratic primary—featuring author Beth Macy (strong fundraising), former Del. Wendy Gooditis, Pete Barlow, and Ken Mitchell—signals recruitment energy, while no polls yet exist ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Referendum results and national midterm headwinds could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$22,480Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Ben Cline (R) holds a slim trader consensus edge at 51% in VA-06, a Solid Republican district (R+12 PVI per Cook Political Report), amid uncertainty from the April 21 redistricting referendum that could redraw maps to create a more competitive 6th District by adding Democratic areas like Charlottesville and Albemarle County. Cline has mobilized opposition, including a new group for get-out-the-vote efforts against what he calls a partisan Democratic gerrymander aiming for a 10-1 D advantage statewide. A crowded Democratic primary—featuring author Beth Macy (strong fundraising), former Del. Wendy Gooditis, Pete Barlow, and Ken Mitchell—signals recruitment energy, while no polls yet exist ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Referendum results and national midterm headwinds could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$22,480Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ben Cline (R) holds a slim trader consensus edge at 51% in VA-06, a Solid Republican district (R+12 PVI per Cook Political Report), amid uncertainty from the April 21 redistricting referendum that could redraw maps to create a more competitive 6th District by adding Democratic areas like Charlottesville and Albemarle County. Cline has mobilized opposition, including a new group for get-out-the-vote efforts against what he calls a partisan Democratic gerrymander aiming for a 10-1 D advantage statewide. A crowded Democratic primary—featuring author Beth Macy (strong fundraising), former Del. Wendy Gooditis, Pete Barlow, and Ken Mitchell—signals recruitment energy, while no polls yet exist ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Referendum results and national midterm headwinds could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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