The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Texas's 31st congressional district due to its longstanding conservative tilt and the March 2026 primary results that secured incumbent John Carter's nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote. Carter faces Democrat Justin Early, who prevailed in his party's primary with 58 percent, yet the district's partisan voting index and historical margins favor the Republican path to victory in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic inroads despite broader midterm dynamics. Traders' 84 percent consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts or turnout surprises could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-31
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-31
$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
84%
Partido Demócrata
16%
$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,720 Vol.
84%
Partido Demócrata
$5,226 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Texas's 31st congressional district due to its longstanding conservative tilt and the March 2026 primary results that secured incumbent John Carter's nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote. Carter faces Democrat Justin Early, who prevailed in his party's primary with 58 percent, yet the district's partisan voting index and historical margins favor the Republican path to victory in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic inroads despite broader midterm dynamics. Traders' 84 percent consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts or turnout surprises could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$13,946Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Texas's 31st congressional district due to its longstanding conservative tilt and the March 2026 primary results that secured incumbent John Carter's nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote. Carter faces Democrat Justin Early, who prevailed in his party's primary with 58 percent, yet the district's partisan voting index and historical margins favor the Republican path to victory in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic inroads despite broader midterm dynamics. Traders' 84 percent consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts or turnout surprises could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$13,946Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Texas's 31st congressional district due to its longstanding conservative tilt and the March 2026 primary results that secured incumbent John Carter's nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote. Carter faces Democrat Justin Early, who prevailed in his party's primary with 58 percent, yet the district's partisan voting index and historical margins favor the Republican path to victory in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic inroads despite broader midterm dynamics. Traders' 84 percent consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts or turnout surprises could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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