Incumbent Republican John Carter secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against a crowded field, following an endorsement from President Trump. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, encompasses military communities around Fort Hood, and includes suburban and rural areas that have consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural and electoral factors underpin the market's 93 percent consensus for the Republican nominee. A sustained national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen health event involving the incumbent represent the primary low-probability paths that could narrow the margin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-31
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-31
$45,379 Vol.
$45,379 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$45,379 Vol.
$45,379 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$24,918 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$20,461 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against a crowded field, following an endorsement from President Trump. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, encompasses military communities around Fort Hood, and includes suburban and rural areas that have consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural and electoral factors underpin the market's 93 percent consensus for the Republican nominee. A sustained national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen health event involving the incumbent represent the primary low-probability paths that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$45,379Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against a crowded field, following an endorsement from President Trump. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, encompasses military communities around Fort Hood, and includes suburban and rural areas that have consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural and electoral factors underpin the market's 93 percent consensus for the Republican nominee. A sustained national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen health event involving the incumbent represent the primary low-probability paths that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$45,379Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against a crowded field, following an endorsement from President Trump. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, encompasses military communities around Fort Hood, and includes suburban and rural areas that have consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural and electoral factors underpin the market's 93 percent consensus for the Republican nominee. A sustained national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen health event involving the incumbent represent the primary low-probability paths that could narrow the margin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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