Hank Johnson's long incumbency in Georgia's 4th congressional district, combined with its consistent Democratic lean, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat, centered in Atlanta's eastern suburbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+24, and Johnson has won reelection by wide margins since 2007, including a 51-point victory in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive polling or fundraising activity from Republican challenger James Duffie. The May 2026 primaries confirmed both nominees without altering the fundamentals. Late developments that could still shift outcomes remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or turnout surge, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such reversals improbable before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGA-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
GA-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$48,081 Vol.
$48,081 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Hank Johnson (D)
96%
James Duffie (R)
3%
$48,081 Vol.
$48,081 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Hank Johnson (D)
$29,990 Vol.
96%
James Duffie (R)
$18,091 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hank Johnson's long incumbency in Georgia's 4th congressional district, combined with its consistent Democratic lean, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat, centered in Atlanta's eastern suburbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+24, and Johnson has won reelection by wide margins since 2007, including a 51-point victory in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive polling or fundraising activity from Republican challenger James Duffie. The May 2026 primaries confirmed both nominees without altering the fundamentals. Late developments that could still shift outcomes remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or turnout surge, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such reversals improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$48,081Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hank Johnson's long incumbency in Georgia's 4th congressional district, combined with its consistent Democratic lean, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat, centered in Atlanta's eastern suburbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+24, and Johnson has won reelection by wide margins since 2007, including a 51-point victory in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive polling or fundraising activity from Republican challenger James Duffie. The May 2026 primaries confirmed both nominees without altering the fundamentals. Late developments that could still shift outcomes remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or turnout surge, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such reversals improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$48,081Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hank Johnson's long incumbency in Georgia's 4th congressional district, combined with its consistent Democratic lean, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat, centered in Atlanta's eastern suburbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+24, and Johnson has won reelection by wide margins since 2007, including a 51-point victory in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive polling or fundraising activity from Republican challenger James Duffie. The May 2026 primaries confirmed both nominees without altering the fundamentals. Late developments that could still shift outcomes remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or turnout surge, though historical patterns and structural advantages make such reversals improbable before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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