Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 96% in Georgia's 4th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's entrenched D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index—ranking it among the nation's safest Democratic seats—and incumbent Hank Johnson's commanding historical margins exceeding 75% in 2024, 2022, and 2020 generals against underfunded Republicans. The March 6 filing deadline confirmed weak opposition: Johnson faces nominal Democratic primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman with zero fundraising, while sole Republican primary entrant James Duffie also reports no cash on hand. Ahead of the May 19 primary and November 3 general, traders discount flip risks absent a Johnson primary upset, major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican midterm surge overriding local fundamentals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGA-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
GA-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
4%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$3,072 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 96% in Georgia's 4th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's entrenched D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index—ranking it among the nation's safest Democratic seats—and incumbent Hank Johnson's commanding historical margins exceeding 75% in 2024, 2022, and 2020 generals against underfunded Republicans. The March 6 filing deadline confirmed weak opposition: Johnson faces nominal Democratic primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman with zero fundraising, while sole Republican primary entrant James Duffie also reports no cash on hand. Ahead of the May 19 primary and November 3 general, traders discount flip risks absent a Johnson primary upset, major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican midterm surge overriding local fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$3,072Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 96% in Georgia's 4th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's entrenched D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index—ranking it among the nation's safest Democratic seats—and incumbent Hank Johnson's commanding historical margins exceeding 75% in 2024, 2022, and 2020 generals against underfunded Republicans. The March 6 filing deadline confirmed weak opposition: Johnson faces nominal Democratic primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman with zero fundraising, while sole Republican primary entrant James Duffie also reports no cash on hand. Ahead of the May 19 primary and November 3 general, traders discount flip risks absent a Johnson primary upset, major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican midterm surge overriding local fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$3,072Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 96% in Georgia's 4th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's entrenched D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index—ranking it among the nation's safest Democratic seats—and incumbent Hank Johnson's commanding historical margins exceeding 75% in 2024, 2022, and 2020 generals against underfunded Republicans. The March 6 filing deadline confirmed weak opposition: Johnson faces nominal Democratic primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman with zero fundraising, while sole Republican primary entrant James Duffie also reports no cash on hand. Ahead of the May 19 primary and November 3 general, traders discount flip risks absent a Johnson primary upset, major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican midterm surge overriding local fundamentals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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