Incumbent Rep. Beth Van Duyne (R) secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary, bolstering trader consensus at 67.5% for a GOP hold in this suburban Dallas district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report (R+8 PVI) and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Van Duyne's 21-point 2024 victory and $2.8 million cash-on-hand advantage dwarf Democratic fundraising, where Kevin Burge (48%) and TJ Ware (26%) advanced to a May 26 primary runoff amid low turnout. With no recent polling but forecasters citing minimal map changes and her primary dominance, markets reflect incumbency edge and district lean despite GOP's slim House majority and midterm volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-24
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-24
$26,097 Vol.
$26,097 Vol.
Partido Republicano
67%
Partido Demócrata
23%
$26,097 Vol.
$26,097 Vol.
Partido Republicano
67%
Partido Demócrata
23%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Beth Van Duyne (R) secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary, bolstering trader consensus at 67.5% for a GOP hold in this suburban Dallas district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report (R+8 PVI) and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Van Duyne's 21-point 2024 victory and $2.8 million cash-on-hand advantage dwarf Democratic fundraising, where Kevin Burge (48%) and TJ Ware (26%) advanced to a May 26 primary runoff amid low turnout. With no recent polling but forecasters citing minimal map changes and her primary dominance, markets reflect incumbency edge and district lean despite GOP's slim House majority and midterm volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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