Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng's commanding fundraising lead and recent endorsement from State Sen. John Liu have solidified trader consensus at 91% odds for a Democratic Party win in New York's 6th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+6 seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Despite a 24-point swing toward Trump in 2024 driven by shifts among Asian American voters in Queens' Flushing area, Meng secured 61% of the vote. Ahead of the June 23 primaries—where she faces progressive challenger Chuck Park and Yan Xiong, while Republican Juan Pagan runs unopposed—her $1 million cash on hand dwarfs rivals'. A primary upset, GOP recruitment of a stronger nominee, national midterm wave, or scandal could challenge this, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-06
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-06
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
91%
Partido Republicano
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$2,614 Vol.
91%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng's commanding fundraising lead and recent endorsement from State Sen. John Liu have solidified trader consensus at 91% odds for a Democratic Party win in New York's 6th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+6 seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Despite a 24-point swing toward Trump in 2024 driven by shifts among Asian American voters in Queens' Flushing area, Meng secured 61% of the vote. Ahead of the June 23 primaries—where she faces progressive challenger Chuck Park and Yan Xiong, while Republican Juan Pagan runs unopposed—her $1 million cash on hand dwarfs rivals'. A primary upset, GOP recruitment of a stronger nominee, national midterm wave, or scandal could challenge this, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$2,614Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng's commanding fundraising lead and recent endorsement from State Sen. John Liu have solidified trader consensus at 91% odds for a Democratic Party win in New York's 6th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+6 seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Despite a 24-point swing toward Trump in 2024 driven by shifts among Asian American voters in Queens' Flushing area, Meng secured 61% of the vote. Ahead of the June 23 primaries—where she faces progressive challenger Chuck Park and Yan Xiong, while Republican Juan Pagan runs unopposed—her $1 million cash on hand dwarfs rivals'. A primary upset, GOP recruitment of a stronger nominee, national midterm wave, or scandal could challenge this, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$2,614Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng's commanding fundraising lead and recent endorsement from State Sen. John Liu have solidified trader consensus at 91% odds for a Democratic Party win in New York's 6th Congressional District, a Cook PVI D+6 seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Despite a 24-point swing toward Trump in 2024 driven by shifts among Asian American voters in Queens' Flushing area, Meng secured 61% of the vote. Ahead of the June 23 primaries—where she faces progressive challenger Chuck Park and Yan Xiong, while Republican Juan Pagan runs unopposed—her $1 million cash on hand dwarfs rivals'. A primary upset, GOP recruitment of a stronger nominee, national midterm wave, or scandal could challenge this, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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