The open seat in Texas’s 21st congressional district, created by incumbent Chip Roy’s retirement to seek the state attorney general nomination, remains a solidly Republican district based on its partisan voting index and recent presidential results. Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with endorsements from President Trump and other party leaders, while Kristin Hook won the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the general election contest Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates in federal races. These structural and candidate factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 80.5% implied probability of victory ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-21
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-21
$35,509 Vol.
$35,509 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
82%
Partido Demócrata
15%
$35,509 Vol.
$35,509 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$19,578 Vol.
82%
Partido Demócrata
$15,931 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Texas’s 21st congressional district, created by incumbent Chip Roy’s retirement to seek the state attorney general nomination, remains a solidly Republican district based on its partisan voting index and recent presidential results. Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with endorsements from President Trump and other party leaders, while Kristin Hook won the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the general election contest Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates in federal races. These structural and candidate factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 80.5% implied probability of victory ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$35,509Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Texas’s 21st congressional district, created by incumbent Chip Roy’s retirement to seek the state attorney general nomination, remains a solidly Republican district based on its partisan voting index and recent presidential results. Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with endorsements from President Trump and other party leaders, while Kristin Hook won the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the general election contest Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates in federal races. These structural and candidate factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 80.5% implied probability of victory ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$35,509Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Texas’s 21st congressional district, created by incumbent Chip Roy’s retirement to seek the state attorney general nomination, remains a solidly Republican district based on its partisan voting index and recent presidential results. Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with endorsements from President Trump and other party leaders, while Kristin Hook won the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the general election contest Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates in federal races. These structural and candidate factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 80.5% implied probability of victory ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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