Incumbent Republican Roger Williams secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, Texas primary for the safely Republican 25th Congressional District, facing Democrat Dione Sims, who won her primary with 60.5% on April 9. Traders reflect this in an 88.5% implied probability for a Republican victory, driven by the district's R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 49th most Republican nationally—strong 2024 presidential margins for Republicans (around 61%), Williams' proven wide reelection victories, and his fundraising edge with nearly $870,000 cash on hand as of February. The new mid-decade redistricting map, upheld by the Supreme Court in December 2025, bolsters the GOP lean. Absent major scandals or shifts, the November 3 general election favors retention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-25
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-25
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
89%
Partido Demócrata
11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$1,809 Vol.
89%
Partido Demócrata
$1,069 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Roger Williams secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, Texas primary for the safely Republican 25th Congressional District, facing Democrat Dione Sims, who won her primary with 60.5% on April 9. Traders reflect this in an 88.5% implied probability for a Republican victory, driven by the district's R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 49th most Republican nationally—strong 2024 presidential margins for Republicans (around 61%), Williams' proven wide reelection victories, and his fundraising edge with nearly $870,000 cash on hand as of February. The new mid-decade redistricting map, upheld by the Supreme Court in December 2025, bolsters the GOP lean. Absent major scandals or shifts, the November 3 general election favors retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$2,878Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Roger Williams secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, Texas primary for the safely Republican 25th Congressional District, facing Democrat Dione Sims, who won her primary with 60.5% on April 9. Traders reflect this in an 88.5% implied probability for a Republican victory, driven by the district's R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 49th most Republican nationally—strong 2024 presidential margins for Republicans (around 61%), Williams' proven wide reelection victories, and his fundraising edge with nearly $870,000 cash on hand as of February. The new mid-decade redistricting map, upheld by the Supreme Court in December 2025, bolsters the GOP lean. Absent major scandals or shifts, the November 3 general election favors retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$2,878Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Williams secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, Texas primary for the safely Republican 25th Congressional District, facing Democrat Dione Sims, who won her primary with 60.5% on April 9. Traders reflect this in an 88.5% implied probability for a Republican victory, driven by the district's R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 49th most Republican nationally—strong 2024 presidential margins for Republicans (around 61%), Williams' proven wide reelection victories, and his fundraising edge with nearly $870,000 cash on hand as of February. The new mid-decade redistricting map, upheld by the Supreme Court in December 2025, bolsters the GOP lean. Absent major scandals or shifts, the November 3 general election favors retention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes