Incumbent Republican Rep. David Kustoff's unchallenged position in the solidly Republican TN-08 (Cook PVI R+21) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a GOP House election win, reflecting the district's conservative strongholds in suburban Memphis and rural West Tennessee where Trump carried 70% in 2024. The March 10 filing deadline yielded no serious GOP primary rivals for Kustoff, who boasts over $2.7 million cash-on-hand, while Democrats' August 6 primary pits low-fundraising unknowns Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins against independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, aligning with historical incumbent re-election rates exceeding 90% in safe seats. Scenarios like a Kustoff scandal, health event, legal challenge, or national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTN-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$827 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. David Kustoff's unchallenged position in the solidly Republican TN-08 (Cook PVI R+21) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a GOP House election win, reflecting the district's conservative strongholds in suburban Memphis and rural West Tennessee where Trump carried 70% in 2024. The March 10 filing deadline yielded no serious GOP primary rivals for Kustoff, who boasts over $2.7 million cash-on-hand, while Democrats' August 6 primary pits low-fundraising unknowns Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins against independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, aligning with historical incumbent re-election rates exceeding 90% in safe seats. Scenarios like a Kustoff scandal, health event, legal challenge, or national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$827Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. David Kustoff's unchallenged position in the solidly Republican TN-08 (Cook PVI R+21) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a GOP House election win, reflecting the district's conservative strongholds in suburban Memphis and rural West Tennessee where Trump carried 70% in 2024. The March 10 filing deadline yielded no serious GOP primary rivals for Kustoff, who boasts over $2.7 million cash-on-hand, while Democrats' August 6 primary pits low-fundraising unknowns Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins against independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, aligning with historical incumbent re-election rates exceeding 90% in safe seats. Scenarios like a Kustoff scandal, health event, legal challenge, or national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$827Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. David Kustoff's unchallenged position in the solidly Republican TN-08 (Cook PVI R+21) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a GOP House election win, reflecting the district's conservative strongholds in suburban Memphis and rural West Tennessee where Trump carried 70% in 2024. The March 10 filing deadline yielded no serious GOP primary rivals for Kustoff, who boasts over $2.7 million cash-on-hand, while Democrats' August 6 primary pits low-fundraising unknowns Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins against independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, aligning with historical incumbent re-election rates exceeding 90% in safe seats. Scenarios like a Kustoff scandal, health event, legal challenge, or national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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