Incumbent Republican David Kustoff maintains a commanding lead in Tennessee's 8th Congressional District House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at over 90% implied probability to win on November 5. Recent polls, including late October surveys showing Kustoff ahead by 30+ points, underscore his dominance in this R+14 Cook PVI district, where he won by 37 points in 2022 amid favorable turnout for Republicans. Strong fundraising and minimal Democratic investment have solidified the GOP hold, with no major scandals or shifts in the final week. While late-breaking events like a personal scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban Memphis areas, or national GOP underperformance could narrow the gap, structural advantages make an upset highly unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTN-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$827 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff maintains a commanding lead in Tennessee's 8th Congressional District House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at over 90% implied probability to win on November 5. Recent polls, including late October surveys showing Kustoff ahead by 30+ points, underscore his dominance in this R+14 Cook PVI district, where he won by 37 points in 2022 amid favorable turnout for Republicans. Strong fundraising and minimal Democratic investment have solidified the GOP hold, with no major scandals or shifts in the final week. While late-breaking events like a personal scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban Memphis areas, or national GOP underperformance could narrow the gap, structural advantages make an upset highly unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$827Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff maintains a commanding lead in Tennessee's 8th Congressional District House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at over 90% implied probability to win on November 5. Recent polls, including late October surveys showing Kustoff ahead by 30+ points, underscore his dominance in this R+14 Cook PVI district, where he won by 37 points in 2022 amid favorable turnout for Republicans. Strong fundraising and minimal Democratic investment have solidified the GOP hold, with no major scandals or shifts in the final week. While late-breaking events like a personal scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban Memphis areas, or national GOP underperformance could narrow the gap, structural advantages make an upset highly unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$827Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Kustoff maintains a commanding lead in Tennessee's 8th Congressional District House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at over 90% implied probability to win on November 5. Recent polls, including late October surveys showing Kustoff ahead by 30+ points, underscore his dominance in this R+14 Cook PVI district, where he won by 37 points in 2022 amid favorable turnout for Republicans. Strong fundraising and minimal Democratic investment have solidified the GOP hold, with no major scandals or shifts in the final week. While late-breaking events like a personal scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban Memphis areas, or national GOP underperformance could narrow the gap, structural advantages make an upset highly unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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