The district's R+7 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 79.5% for the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic side at 20.5%. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces primary challengers on June 9, while multiple Democratic candidates compete in their primary the same day; forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican. The absence of major shifts in candidate fields, polling, or district dynamics since filing deadlines has kept probabilities stable, with upcoming primaries and the general election timeline as the primary near-term catalysts for any movement in implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSC-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
SC-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$30,207 Vol.
$30,207 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
80%
Partido Demócrata
21%
$30,207 Vol.
$30,207 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$10,423 Vol.
80%
Partido Demócrata
$19,784 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+7 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 79.5% for the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic side at 20.5%. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces primary challengers on June 9, while multiple Democratic candidates compete in their primary the same day; forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican. The absence of major shifts in candidate fields, polling, or district dynamics since filing deadlines has kept probabilities stable, with upcoming primaries and the general election timeline as the primary near-term catalysts for any movement in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$30,207Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+7 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 79.5% for the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic side at 20.5%. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces primary challengers on June 9, while multiple Democratic candidates compete in their primary the same day; forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican. The absence of major shifts in candidate fields, polling, or district dynamics since filing deadlines has kept probabilities stable, with upcoming primaries and the general election timeline as the primary near-term catalysts for any movement in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$30,207Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's R+7 partisan voter index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 79.5% for the November 2026 general election, with the Democratic side at 20.5%. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces primary challengers on June 9, while multiple Democratic candidates compete in their primary the same day; forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican. The absence of major shifts in candidate fields, polling, or district dynamics since filing deadlines has kept probabilities stable, with upcoming primaries and the general election timeline as the primary near-term catalysts for any movement in implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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