South Dakota’s at-large congressional district carries an R+15 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open seat created by incumbent Dusty Johnson’s gubernatorial bid has drawn a competitive Republican primary on June 2 featuring Attorney General Marty Jackley, who leads polls by wide margins, against James Bialota. The Democratic primary was canceled, leaving Nikki Gronli as the general-election nominee for the November 3 contest. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s structural tilt and limited Democratic organizational presence. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the eventual GOP nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de SD-AL
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de SD-AL
$16,931 Vol.
$16,931 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
5%
$16,931 Vol.
$16,931 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,474 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$7,457 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district carries an R+15 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open seat created by incumbent Dusty Johnson’s gubernatorial bid has drawn a competitive Republican primary on June 2 featuring Attorney General Marty Jackley, who leads polls by wide margins, against James Bialota. The Democratic primary was canceled, leaving Nikki Gronli as the general-election nominee for the November 3 contest. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s structural tilt and limited Democratic organizational presence. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the eventual GOP nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$16,931Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district carries an R+15 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open seat created by incumbent Dusty Johnson’s gubernatorial bid has drawn a competitive Republican primary on June 2 featuring Attorney General Marty Jackley, who leads polls by wide margins, against James Bialota. The Democratic primary was canceled, leaving Nikki Gronli as the general-election nominee for the November 3 contest. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s structural tilt and limited Democratic organizational presence. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the eventual GOP nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$16,931Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota’s at-large congressional district carries an R+15 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open seat created by incumbent Dusty Johnson’s gubernatorial bid has drawn a competitive Republican primary on June 2 featuring Attorney General Marty Jackley, who leads polls by wide margins, against James Bialota. The Democratic primary was canceled, leaving Nikki Gronli as the general-election nominee for the November 3 contest. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s structural tilt and limited Democratic organizational presence. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the eventual GOP nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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