Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D) dominates trader sentiment in California's 28th Congressional District, a D+15 seat where she holds a massive fundraising edge with $3.7 million cash on hand versus negligible sums for Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato, ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Chu's prior 65%-35% general election win over Verlato in 2024 underscores her strength in this reliably Democratic district, which Kamala Harris carried 61%-36% last cycle. Early voting began May 4, with recent candidate questionnaires highlighting limited GOP viability; the 88.5% Democratic implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on low upset risk barring unforeseen primary surprises or national wave shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-28 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-28 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$67,898 Vol.
$67,898 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
89%
Partido Republicano
11%
$67,898 Vol.
$67,898 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$37,576 Vol.
89%
Partido Republicano
$30,323 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D) dominates trader sentiment in California's 28th Congressional District, a D+15 seat where she holds a massive fundraising edge with $3.7 million cash on hand versus negligible sums for Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato, ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Chu's prior 65%-35% general election win over Verlato in 2024 underscores her strength in this reliably Democratic district, which Kamala Harris carried 61%-36% last cycle. Early voting began May 4, with recent candidate questionnaires highlighting limited GOP viability; the 88.5% Democratic implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on low upset risk barring unforeseen primary surprises or national wave shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$67,898Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D) dominates trader sentiment in California's 28th Congressional District, a D+15 seat where she holds a massive fundraising edge with $3.7 million cash on hand versus negligible sums for Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato, ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Chu's prior 65%-35% general election win over Verlato in 2024 underscores her strength in this reliably Democratic district, which Kamala Harris carried 61%-36% last cycle. Early voting began May 4, with recent candidate questionnaires highlighting limited GOP viability; the 88.5% Democratic implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on low upset risk barring unforeseen primary surprises or national wave shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$67,898Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D) dominates trader sentiment in California's 28th Congressional District, a D+15 seat where she holds a massive fundraising edge with $3.7 million cash on hand versus negligible sums for Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato, ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Chu's prior 65%-35% general election win over Verlato in 2024 underscores her strength in this reliably Democratic district, which Kamala Harris carried 61%-36% last cycle. Early voting began May 4, with recent candidate questionnaires highlighting limited GOP viability; the 88.5% Democratic implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on low upset risk barring unforeseen primary surprises or national wave shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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