California’s 11th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold, with voter registration showing roughly 64% Democrats and just 7% Republicans. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement created an open seat, but the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary advanced only Democratic candidates—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. This intra-party contest, combined with the district’s consistent history of delivering large Democratic margins, has produced trader consensus that a Democrat will hold the seat. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or candidate dynamics within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-11 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-11 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
98%
Partido Republicano
2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$6,029 Vol.
98%
Partido Republicano
$2,143 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold, with voter registration showing roughly 64% Democrats and just 7% Republicans. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement created an open seat, but the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary advanced only Democratic candidates—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. This intra-party contest, combined with the district’s consistent history of delivering large Democratic margins, has produced trader consensus that a Democrat will hold the seat. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or candidate dynamics within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$8,172Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold, with voter registration showing roughly 64% Democrats and just 7% Republicans. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement created an open seat, but the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary advanced only Democratic candidates—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. This intra-party contest, combined with the district’s consistent history of delivering large Democratic margins, has produced trader consensus that a Democrat will hold the seat. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or candidate dynamics within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$8,172Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 11th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold, with voter registration showing roughly 64% Democrats and just 7% Republicans. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement created an open seat, but the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary advanced only Democratic candidates—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. This intra-party contest, combined with the district’s consistent history of delivering large Democratic margins, has produced trader consensus that a Democrat will hold the seat. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or candidate dynamics within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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