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icon for CA-30 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
Elecciones·Elecciones Del 4 De Noviembre

CA-30 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara

icon for CA-30 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
Elecciones·Elecciones Del 4 De Noviembre

CA-30 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara

$10,697 Vol.

Polymarket

$10,697 Vol.

Partido Demócrata

$5,969 Vol.

93%

Partido Republicano

$4,728 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Laura Friedman (D) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party win in California's 30th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and lopsided voter registration favoring Democrats. Friedman's 68% general election margin in 2024, combined with superior fundraising exceeding $786,000 and endorsements from EMILYs List, positions her to dominate the June 2 top-two primary against challengers like Pini Herman (D) and Republicans Dennis Feitosa and Scott Meyers. The Los Angeles suburbs district's historical reliability for Democrats leaves scant path for a GOP upset in November, barring a primary surprise sending two Republicans to the general, a late scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,697
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Laura Friedman (D) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party win in California's 30th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and lopsided voter registration favoring Democrats. Friedman's 68% general election margin in 2024, combined with superior fundraising exceeding $786,000 and endorsements from EMILYs List, positions her to dominate the June 2 top-two primary against challengers like Pini Herman (D) and Republicans Dennis Feitosa and Scott Meyers. The Los Angeles suburbs district's historical reliability for Democrats leaves scant path for a GOP upset in November, barring a primary surprise sending two Republicans to the general, a late scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,697
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"CA-30 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Partido Demócrata" con 93%, seguido de "Partido Republicano" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "CA-30 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara" ha generado $10.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 28, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "CA-30 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "CA-30 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara" es "Partido Demócrata" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Partido Republicano" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "CA-30 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.