Michigan's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 71 percent. Incumbent Representative Jack Bergman, first elected in 2016, is seeking another term in a seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit victories, most recently 61.7 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report and Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election. With filing deadlines passed and no major Democratic challengers or polling shifts reported in recent weeks, the current pricing aligns with the district's structural advantages and incumbency effects that have held steady into mid-2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMI-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MI-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,775 Vol.
$12,775 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
71%
Partido Demócrata
30%
$12,775 Vol.
$12,775 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$6,429 Vol.
71%
Partido Demócrata
$6,346 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 71 percent. Incumbent Representative Jack Bergman, first elected in 2016, is seeking another term in a seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit victories, most recently 61.7 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report and Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election. With filing deadlines passed and no major Democratic challengers or polling shifts reported in recent weeks, the current pricing aligns with the district's structural advantages and incumbency effects that have held steady into mid-2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$12,775Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 71 percent. Incumbent Representative Jack Bergman, first elected in 2016, is seeking another term in a seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit victories, most recently 61.7 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report and Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election. With filing deadlines passed and no major Democratic challengers or polling shifts reported in recent weeks, the current pricing aligns with the district's structural advantages and incumbency effects that have held steady into mid-2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,775Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Republican tilt, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 71 percent. Incumbent Representative Jack Bergman, first elected in 2016, is seeking another term in a seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit victories, most recently 61.7 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report and Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election. With filing deadlines passed and no major Democratic challengers or polling shifts reported in recent weeks, the current pricing aligns with the district's structural advantages and incumbency effects that have held steady into mid-2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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